There will also be more extreme weather. Super cold winters, super hot summers, super dry times, super heavy rain etc. Storm bunkers could become popular.
How about a smart toaster? It knows what kind of bread you feed it, toasts it just right and understands your feedback. This way, it will update a neural network that covers all types of bread it has ever seen and how you like them toasted.
I think we're past due for a major technological breakthrough in energy storage that 1) increases energy density, 2) decreases max charge/discharge time, and 3) is more sustainable than, say Lithium.
With how much R&D seems to be pouring into this right now, I have at least hope.
I remember hearing about the development of solid-state batteries a few years ago and I have been anxiously awaiting any news regarding the concept since.
I think the big turning point for that could be the ability to run some advanced models (by today's standards) on device. Would definitely unlock some pretty cool use cases.
I know we’re supposed to hate Apple here, but this is a big reason I’m excited about the upcoming event. I really like their path of on-device AI. I’ve been reading some of their case studies on making models work in limited memory situations and they’re already using their own soc with multiple specialized processing nodes that you can imagine being extended to support on device ai. Now let’s find out what they can deliver
Mass produced sodium ion batteries, even cheaper solar panels, scalable water desalination, military adoption of quantum entanglement communication, high speed rail in California, MacBooks with a touchscreen
Hopefully we’ll see AR become more common place and easily integrated with glasses. Imagine being at a gathering and you can look at someone and get their name, maybe their LinkedIn or other profile. Directions overlaid right in front of you for navigation. Going to a sports game and seeing player stats above the player. Things like that.
Sounds like a privacy nightmare honestly. Also a kind of black mirror like social point system.
Navigation is the only one that sounds neat, but also a bit brain rotting. I already don't know where I am half the time because of navigation.
I'd like more basic things, like a floating music player, sticky notes/todo list, notifications bar or video/text, when looking at a restaurant seeing the reviews and menu with order options, looking at a product and getting more info. Just stuff that I'd need to manually look up otherwise or things that would be infinitely better without being hunched over a handheld device.
I really want historic photos overlaid on top of existing buildings. I'd love to walk down Chicago and see in real time what it looked like 100 years ago.
Hate the idea of the former in a private setting, would like in a business setting. Absolutely adore the idea of directions (drove a car with a "heads up" display but it only integrated with the dreadful in-car navigation system and yet it was still awesome)... But player stats dangling over people's heads? That maybe my kid without AR glasses wouldn't be able to see and I could be the cool parent again? Awesome.
I think road signs will have embedded codes for self driving cars. Whether it's a local broadcast signal, a QR code, or just extra blocky letters for the computer to read easier, road signage and signals will be directed to the computer in the car, not to inform the human in the car.
Maybe much farther out in the future when autonomous vehicles are the default. That's a lot of signage to rejigger for very little gain, while mapping and CV already handle that small part of driving quite well.
One of the most amazing things about this would be to remove signs altogether. Just embed the sensor in the pavement and give the space the signs took up back to people, nature, or literally anything else.
Huge overhead highway gantries and traffic lights would be wonderful to remove, too. City sidewalks are narrow enough as is and they would be way better without 20+ft tall metal poles jutting out of the ground. Hopefully we can put trees in their place, but maybe I'm dreaming.
Maybe, but cars are already pretty good about reading signs.
It’s the lack of signs that’s the problem. Self-driving cars are pretty good on a well marked and signed road: if that’s all it took, we’re there. It’s the ubiquity of exceptions and edge cases that’s the problem.
My car recently did a one month trial of self-driving and it was a lot of fun. Also eye-opening. It did work really well on well-marked roads. However it also made me notice just how poorly marked most are. For example, it was great about staying centered between lane lines. However most local roads don’t paint the edge lines, or even the center line is worn off on many roads. Then the car is confused. I can’t even imagine what the car would do if everything were covered with snow, which does happen a lot around here
I think optics can make a big difference. Seeing the cameras in cars become much better so that they can read easier. But all road signage is already codified in a way that it should be relatively easy to do OCR or even matching on.
Actually efficient hardware and better batteries. I'm really interested in owning a laptop or mobile some day that can comfortably work for 20+ hours without being charged.
Batterie technology is fascinating and I expect big strides in the next 10 years (along with consumer generation of electricity)- to the point where people will be able to basically take their home "off grid" relatively easily.
I forget where I read this, but someone posited that the goal has always been "all day" battery. Ever since the first smartphones ,we've had, largely, the same battery life. It lasts most of the day and that's good enough for most people. The secret, though, is that actually the batteries have gotten way bigger and more energy dense, it's just that the processors and mobile radios are also more power intensive.
I suspect if you put a modern battery in a 5 yr old smartphone it would last 2+ days. But you'd have to deal with 3G radios, bad GPS, and slow performance.
I'm sure if I put a high density battery in my old eee PC, it could probably run for days.
I really hate that we've gotten such energy intensive applications. And honestly, I don't think for a lot of them they have gotten much faster. They are bloated and programmers have been allowed to do that since every machine has so much extra resources now.
Depending on what you’re doing 20+ hours is already doable pretty easily on an M1 MacBook. I’m a pretty intensive internet user and I still get 10-15 hours.
Server side services. Think of things like office online, Google cloud, etc and just expand on it. We already see some with server side gaming. I think it'll be more commonplace in our day to day.
Internet enabled roads, highways. Likely won't be commonly adopted within 10 years but I could see service providers/car companies rolling it out.
I think we're also going to be seeing a lot of robots with new applications. Definitely military. But social and work ones as well.
Massive Trades-based Education and less PhD based international studies.
Rapid Rebuild from MAJOR Disasters ( flooding, fires, tsunami, earthquake, volcano, hurricane, tornado, Cat-6 storms , etc )
Any country heavily dependent on Import/Export with zero local production/productivity will go back to the StoneAge ( tough reality for small countries / city-states )
Massive World-Wars everywhere. Massive Militarization ZERO Democracies surviving including USofA.
I don't mean that we'll see smart versions of new things, but more of the basic things, like Light fixtures, smoke alarms, doorbells etc. Consumers will buy less and less of the "dumb" things until EVERYTHING has WiFi built into it.
I've worked in the home automation industry for over twenty five years. I've been programming "smart lighting" for over ten.
The "smart home" you see today is largely thanks to how cheaply things are made in china and repackaged by mega-corporations. And the consumers' desire to do everything from their phone (with 2 day shipping). Automated lighting control has existed for over forty years. It's been expensive because the parts are built to last for forty plus years and most of the older system were manufactured in the US. Those manufacturers are still mostly making things in the US but a lot of little bits are imported.
An average 2,500 sq ft home could do a whole automated lighting system for about five grand. That's a lot for someone to buy (and install) from Amazon but it's nothing if it's bundled into your mortgage.
Nothing beats a wire. For a small apartment with a few lighting circuits, sure, spend $500 on some wireless doodads. Now you're stuck relying on software updates and firmware updates by your router, your wireless bridge, your smart buttons, your lighting fixtures, your mobile OS, the lighting app, and maybe another app to combine everything, not to mention your "smart speaker" if you want to yelp your commands into the air. On the other hand, if you get everything from one manufacturer, it's built on an isolated network that grants access to your mobile device and the system is self contained and essentially bulletproof until the power goes out.
Lighting is a life safety segment. You won't pass inspection unless you can turn the lights on and off from a physical switch or button that doesn't rely on your home wifi.
It's up to electricians and builders and AV experts (and CEDIA) to convince future home owners that it's worth getting this stuff installed before the home is built rather than letting them decide to buy something prone to failure on their own.
I love smart lighting. I wish everyone would invest any amount of money into it. But, if I'm reading you right, a wifi lighting world is not something I would hope to see become more commonplace than the current path of wired automated lighting. I'm in agreement with you though. It's really sad when I walk into brand new homes that have no lighting control (or distributed audio) at all.
Am electrician, 100% with you. Relying on apps and wifi for your home is NOT worth the money you save. It's straightforward enough for us to do the job properly, and you will be MUCH happier with the results. It will also improve resale value, which your rinky-dink wifi devices won't. Because they'll be obsolete.
This isn't me saying it to drum up work. We've got plenty of work. I ain't selling nothing here. Invest in an electrician for a few days and it will pay off.
Nothing beats a wire. For a small apartment with a few lighting circuits, sure, spend $500 on some wireless doodads. Now you’re stuck relying on software updates and firmware updates by your router, your wireless bridge, your smart buttons, your lighting fixtures, your mobile OS, the lighting app, and maybe another app to combine everything, not to mention your “smart speaker” if you want to yelp your commands into the air. On the other hand, if you get everything from one manufacturer, it’s built on an isolated network that grants access to your mobile device and the system is self contained and essentially bulletproof until the power goes out.
Both wireless and proprietary/single-supplier are deal-breakers for me. As such, stuff like what you install (presumably Crestron or similar) is just as worthless to me as the shit from Amazon. Basically, between surveillance capitalism and vendor lock-in, nobody in the industry wants to meet my needs. So I'm either going to have to resign myself to having a "dumb" house forever, or build the whole damn system from scratch myself with blackjack and hookers Arduinos and Home Assistant!
No WiFi please. There are much better technologies for home automation.
Matter/Thread has the potential to make this happen. Finally a common network across both wired and local low powered mesh-based networks that’s easy to use and can do pretty much whatever anyone would need.
Lots of hype, but very slow rollout means we’re just not seeing that potential develop. You really need to use older tech as well, which keeps it from being available to non-techies
There's a japanese company working on a kidney rejuvination drug for cats that's meant to come out next year (potential 10 year increase in average lifespan) so we'll almost certainly have that in 10 years which will be nice.
While I think our current brute force method attempt at AI is already hitting the limits of how 'smart' it can be I suspect over the next few years we'll develop far lighter models until your phone having a simulated personality is just a standard (hopefully optional) feature. They'll probably also have an online feature to cross reference their own answers with wikipedia or something.
Deaslination is likely to get significantly better by sheer neccesity.
I like to think we'll have higher frequency rectennas though probably not optical frequency ones.
I think the satellite based cellular networks like ASTS is currently trying to launch will be ubiquitous.
The tech already seems good, so it'll happen much sooner than 34, but I imagine by that point it will just be one of those things everyone takes for granted.
I can also see small autonomous drones playing a much larger role with various tasks.
I'm not really a fan of AI that doesn't need to have AI in it, but if you see how rapid it progresses, i would assume AI tools where everyone can make a whole movie by just adding prompts. Like make a batman movie, but i'm batman. It's probably not gonna be great but working. Photoshop skills is gonna be the new: you're not always gonna have a calculator in your pocket.
Proper "AI". No more coding, you just tell the machine what to do and it will do it. I don't think in the physical world but computers and every profession that is not physical will be much rarer. Either pivot to AI Management or be the arms that the AI "guides" through a task.
Although, now that I think of it, 10 years might not be enough for such a change.
We already have that, there are already people whose sole job is telling the machine what to do in specific enough terms that the machine doesn't make mistakes. It's called programmers. People who think LLMs can replace programmers don't understand what a programmer does. An AGI will surely make programmers obsolete, but it would also make any other job obsolete and I don't think we're 10 years away from one.
I'm not talking about an "AI" replacing programmers on coding. I mean making programming and coding obsolete. A new paradigm on how software is made. It won't be coded. There won't be different software for different tasks, just one software running everywhere and everything.
But yeah, like I said, 10 years is maybe too little for that.
Glad you could take a break from posting anti-Dem stuff to fantasize about what cool gadgets you could buy in 10 yrs with your 6fig salary. Clearly you have a lot personally invested in the election and aren't just positions and sacrificing more vulnerable populations with your adolescent "don't vote" rhetoric lol