And then the inevitable day or week or so where it's unseasonably cold before we barrel into another couple months of record breaking heat. But during those weeks I will be told innumerable times "so much for global warming! This idiots don't know anything!"
Not true. Fake news. Everyone knows that for the first few hundred million years after Earth first formed the average surface temperature was 80C (176F).
Agreed, we and other land mammals will suffer greatly, but life on Earth is hearty and just as the great George Carlin said, once we're gone, the planet will heal itself from the failed mutation that was homo sapien.
The communist and socialist countries aren't using any less oil either. We can't fix a problem if we are blaming random things.
I've come to accept that there isn't hope to stop the runaway train of unchecked capitalist greed, at least not without the hard lesson of collapse and rebuild, and that means there will be apologists like you screaming that the ship (Our habitable world) isn't sinking as you're waist deep in ocean(city destroying weather events, crop failures, heat deaths, fresh water crises, etc).
That used to bother me, but I've come to appreciate you as the comedy relief you are in this tragedy. So by all means, keep crowing about how competition between humans in matters of life and death are "healthy" and how the capital markets will save us from the capital markets that don't care about any future that is more than a fiscal quarter out, and will do anything they can get away with against the species for an extra nickel for shareholders.
I'm sure the benevolence of the sliver of the population that came to own almost everything through Extensive, merciless exploitation and sociopathy "rational self-interest" will swoop in to save you and your loved ones for your devotion.
Moving past tipping points. With permafrost melting, sea ice melting and not reforming, and fires in the boreal forest, the feedback loop is developing. We are going to blow past 2 degrees C way faster than anyone predicted.
4-5 degrees? You are optimistic. I bet I get to see 3 degrees in my lifetime as we will blast by each and every exit ramps. Not only that we'll also be drifting on the highway, because it looks cool.
Welcome to the result. It's sad, because nuclear power was the way, but instead we propegandized against it and continued to use it as a boogie man.
Ignoring the fact that coal and natural gas still hurt and kill people daily, ignoring there's over 400 nuclear power reactors that are still active, 93 in America... But no.. "Chernobyl" and the discussion ends.
Also Chernobyl was a 50 year old design, and happened 40 years ago, involved multiple human errors ... nah can't consider things have changed since then.
Now we have people using another nuclear plant in Ukraine as an example, and again the fear rises. They're trying to weaponize the plant, but somehow it's "Nuclear power" and not the fact some fuckheads are planning to destroy it in a destructive fashion that's the problem.
Somehow dams that would be devistating to destroy are given a pass, but hey Nuclear power, so scary.
Switching >50% of the power to wind could have happened any time in the last 80 years for far less than any one of the various failed nuclear transitions.
Hell, the first commercial solar thermal installation was over a century ago and the first attempt to bring PV to market was george cove in 1906. One abandoned nuclear reactor worth of investment could have moved either down the economic learning curve to replace coal.
The answer has been clear. The wealthy that cause this will continue to rape the planet for short term profit to feed their insatiable greed machine, the peasants who will suffer the most who could destroy the global oligarch class in a day will continue to labor for them in exchange for minimal subsistence until we die of climate change induced natural disasters, heat stroke, or starvation, and the global oligarchs will flee to the luxury bunker complexes they've been building to continue to live like modern Pharoahs, protected from the destruction they wrought.
Humanity chose greed and greed worship, because humans would rather daydream about becoming the greedy fuckers and living in the decadence and gluttony of their masters, than of breaking the wheel, rejecting the owners and stripping them of their wealth/power, and working together sustainably for the future of the species.
A great many of us peasants actually resent our tax dollars going to the underpaid teachers that try to foster society's future in the face of apathy and greed. I think you'd have to be blind to have any hope for humanity getting wise without the painful, clearly needed education of civilization's collapse. In an age where humanity's technology can literally destroy the world, we need to learn the hard way that actions and inaction have consequences for the species.
We can't learn that until we're hungry and can no longer delude ourselves into believing everything is fine by staring into a screen.
Sadly the inflation of the 70s followed by high interest rates froze nuclear plant building, and when it could have picked back up, Chernobyl put a final mail in the coffin.
Honestly I think the only thing that will stop it is mass death and destruction of the industrial economy.
Right now my biggest hope is a volcanic winter to give us a little reprieve.
The question on my mind is at what temp will global economy and our current civilization start to implode, as at that point we will probably stop emmiting as people, cities and possibly states literally die off....and than will probably be the new norm...
It would take that long for developed nations, there are countries that are still in their industrial revolution and that's not even counting the ones that actively oppose this kind of thing like Russia and China.
We’re going to need to make all the changes now. Energy production, energy usage, energy storage, transportation, manufacturing, carbon capture and so on. We’re going to need to do all of it, and we’re still in big trouble. My guess is that within the next 100 years the human population might take a dive because of climate change.
Its not really a matter of if I care. I cannot sway billionaires, the ones who put us into this situation. I cannot make them stop destroying the planet. They do not care what I think, and they are solely motivated by profits. Nothing else. They have no morality, no sensibilities, no sympathy, and they have absolutely no desire to do literally anything about the unfolding climate crisis. They don't care. They'd double emissions in a heartbeat if they'd make a few cents off of it. God knows they've done it before, and they've done much worse for much less money.
Until the money billionaires have stolen from us is rightfully given back to us, we have no means of intervening directly ourselves. The only other option is insurrectionary revolution. Those in the ruling class have shown us consistently over the last 150 years that they have callous disregard for the environment and for the future of humanity. They have shown time and again they will ignore all warnings, they will dismiss all concerns, they are apathetic to human life, and are solely focused on the accumulation of stolen wealth. There's no middle ground here. If we want to do something meaningful to mitigate this crisis, the billionaires and the ruling class have to go.
So, your answer to climate change is to kill people?
Other than that idiotic proposal, which others do you have that people should implement and which would end climate change?
Seeing how we’ve known about it for decades and this is the amount of progress we’ve made towards slowing/fixing it… idk maybe I’m just being cynical, then again Covid really showed us just how much the general public doesn’t care about their well-being and other’s wellbeing
I had a slight glimmer of hope at the start of covid-19, when people were dazed and confused and isolating and waiting for a vaccine. At the very start, I actually thought humanity is proving we're not that bad.
IMO, it's always better to try. Worst case scenario is that nothing changes, so no worse than if you didn't. The only sane choice in that kind of situation is to pick the one with a chance for improvement.
In my experience, giving a shit about what you're doing has a bunch of positing knock-on affects as well. You just end up feeling better about yourself. In your specific scenario it sounds like trying would also afford you the opportunity to live a happier life, and that's worth chasing. The world is fucked, but scientists keep saying they if we act soon it's not so fucked they we're past the inflection point to un-fuck it.
If you have the energy to try I'd say do so, but be careful not to overexert yourself. When it comes to doing good or altruistic things that don't have a lot of direct value to us, we all have different amounts of energy. If that energy runs out, people burn out and stop doing anything. With that in mind, try to do small things here and there. For following your dreams, I'd say to my knowledge we only live once and you should do something you enjoy, and it's possible at any age to change careers, but it's important to be realistic and build a plan before making the jump.
One could argue that we (humans) are doing exactly what we are meant to do and that the climate change isn't a 'problem' on the grander scale.
Change is only 'bad' based on perspective. Climate Change could also be the pressure catalyst that drives evolutionary change. The pressure exerted on coal underground could be considered 'bad' for the coal but it also drives the transformation of coal into diamond.
This is exactly why I dislike the phrase climate change. Outside of academia, it should be 'climate catastrophe'. Or maybe 'sixth mass extinction'. Those are much less ambiguous.
Mate believe me i'm thorn between the exact same feelings..
It's hard to find a balance in an unbalanced world, a world that is demanding us to work hard to fix important problems and to create new and different possibilities.
At the same time a lot of us are just needing social interactions to the point they are starving: a lot of people of my generation grew up with technology ( the specific capitalist kind of technology that wanna keep you glued to the screen even if it's hurting you) and are really in the need of some real human contact.
Finding a balance is incredibily hard, there's this will of finding truth: true actions, true relationships, true help.
But at the same time the actions required to find solutions could take us a lot of time, mental and phisical resources...
But from as i see it now, i feel good if i can live one good day with the people i love even if rarely, than living with the consciousness i've never even tried to do something to change the world and create a better future for me and for them.
Welcome to the British Petroleum summer heat wave.
Next up is the Exxon Mobile Hurricane season.
Fun fact about the Exxon Mobile Hurricane Season, oil and gas platforms can get insurance against a storm in the Exxon Mobile Hurricane Season, but homeowners in Louisiana can't get any homeowners insurance due to the expected severity of the named storms in the Exxon Mobile Hurricane Season.
Where I'm from, we were massively talking about it in the 80s when I was a kid. It promply stopped by the end of the 90s. Then all of sudden, we don't hear much about it.
It's so fucked up to be told all your life that your are insane to believe in climate change, and then about 40 years later, most people talk about it as if it was a given.
We should not be anxious about climate change, we should be furious.
It was being talked about in newspapers a century ago. The fossil fuels companies have known for a very long time, and have been suppressing it for a very long time, hiring many of the same people involved in suppressing evidence that tobacco causes cancer. We should be torches and pitchforks in the street livid.
Yeah, I remember the topic from school in the 90s, where it said "if we don't start to do anything about it soon, it will have serious catastrophic consequences in about 30 years". And now here we are.
I was a kid in the early 2000's and I remember that page from the science book that we were reading during class, and it was also already alarming us about climate change/global warming. And like you said, here we are...
Its that the channels that we watch news on have now been fragmented / specialized to the point where we can "watch the news" and only get right wing propaganda.
I remember this also in the 80s. But we were mostly worried about the ozone. Then that got figured out, more or less, and we got stuck with reduce, reuse, recycle.
Fuck generational politics. There are class, gender, and racial divisions within each generation. We have more in common with working class and oppressed boomers than with ruling class members of our own generation.
Don't worry guys, I'm sure this is just natural weather fluctuation and has nothing to do with us messing with the climate for the past however many decades. We couldn't possibly be suffering the consequences of our own actions (or at least the actions of a few with too much power). /s
In what way would socialism prevent extinction, environmental degradation, or global warming?
It might even make things worse, as capitalists only exploit the earth and its people to make profit. Marxism has a goal to expand industrialization to relieve humanity of harsh labor and to provide products for all people. The love affair with development is as much a capitalist value as it is a Marxist infatuation.
Hopefully I'm not mistaken, but I'm going to assume you are asking in good faith.
Capitalism is an ideology of infinite growth. Capital is only invested for growth, that's the whole point...so corporations have to consume more, produce more, sell more, or capitalists will take away their capital investments. Think of it this way, you're a capitalist (by which, I don't mean someone who believes in the idea of capitalism...I mean someone who makes the bulk of their wealth with capital investments instead of labor) with millions invested in an oil company -- that oil company realizes that we need to phase out the use of fossil fuels for the sake of the planet -- so they announce a plan to limit production (and therefore profits).
Your capital is how you make your money, so if they announce a very finite upside (with a real possibility that in a decade or two, their whole business will dry up), you will quickly take your millions and move them somewhere else. And you won't be alone -- think of the bank run that Silicon Valley Bank had once everyone suspected the bank would have solvency problems. And before you know it, that whole company has lost trillions and fails almost immediately.
Now repeat this while coal, commercial beef farms, and down the line of the worst industries for the climate.
The corporations that are the main source of climate change causing emissions also know that if any one of them chooses to do the right thing for the planet, other, less ethical corporations will see blood in the water, and take over their portion of the market; and nothing will change for the environment, all that CEO will have done is put thousands of their own workers out of business.
Socialism, by contrast, is not an ideology of infinite growth. At it's core, it's an ideology of collectivism -- we all need to take care of everyone else -- this includes making sure everyone has a habitable planet to live on. The government can make sure all companies play by the rules, for the benefit of all humankind, not just do as they do now...ask nicely for the corporations to be nice, and then shrug their shoulders when nothing changes.
You're confusing the means with the goals. Marxism is about making the economy work for people (rather than the other way around). Industrialization was the obvious means to that end in Marx's time, but any sane person trying to run an economy today would prioritize making sure people have a planet to live on over just making more stuff for them to consume.
Capitalism is fundamentally different because it's highest goal isn't to make people's lives better—it's to increase privately held wealth. Capitalism can't pivot to prioritizing survival over private wealth, because if it did, it would no longer be capitalism.
Please read the book Socialist Reconstruction that was put out by the Party for Socialism and Labor. The sentence that you have starting with "Marxism" is not factual and completely debunked by not only the chapter on farming, but any of the chapters that touch on climate change at all.
I don't agree with everything in it but you might want to read Aaron Bastani's Fully Automated Luxury Communism. You'll find that Marxists aren't infatuated with growth for growth's sake, nor with growth at the expense of the environment.
The industrialization needed to carry out the Marxist project has already occurred. Capitalism is a religion of infinite growth on a finite planet just for growth's sake.
The more that climate change continues we will see more and more extremes of weather. So cold places might get colder and hot places hotter, as well as more extreme/frequent storms. It's not a super great time for the environment
Yeah the problem I have is when ppl say climate change doesn’t exist because today is moderate, meanwhile they ignore the droughts and floods elsewhere. I’m happy for our farmers and our rivers but next year could be completely different.
Yeah well this is frightening. In 25-30 years I will retire and now I need to raise the chances that I will live in a home with air conditioning in a country that -- currently -- hardly has buildings with air conditioning because it was not a necessity up until now. This will be an uphill battle. I don't want to die prematurely in a summer heat wave..
That's all well and good until your AC breaks, hits its heat transfer limit, you lose the ability to afford it run the AC, or your electricity goes out because the grid is overloaded because everyone else is also running their AC.
This is why all climate change predictions come with predictions for escalated war, famine, violence. Human 'civilization' may have just been a result of a resource glut.
Big brain time - research where the new shoreline will be with sea rise and buy the land all around there. Wait a few years and boom - beachfront property.
I'm glad I'm old enough that I remember much more seasonally appropriate weather, if nothing else. It was really snowy in December when I was a kid in the 1980s and I think I only saw one green Christmas that whole time, while green Christmas is just normal now. We also didn't have air conditioning until I was in my teens, because Canada had cooler summers, and for the odd hot night you'd just sleep in the basement. Eventually we moved to a house that had central air, but I don't remember needing it the way we have the last 20 years.
I don't have air conditioning now, but it hasn't been a bad summer in Ontario so far heat wise, somehow we're missing the big heat waves everyone else is getting. I'm lucky I get a lot of tree shade.
Actually hoping this is situational to a degree bc of the
El Niño is the "hot wave" portion of the cycle. El Niña is the "cooling" portion of the cycle. Both are involced in water surgace temperatures affecting storms, hurricanes, and more. We are in El Niño currently for the new couple years so I wouldn't be surprised to see the routinely for a couple years sadly.
I had to put on a coat the other day. So clearly global warming is a conspiracy to make the world a better place for no reason. I'm not having it, that's why I burn a barrel of crude oil every night in my garden.
I live in NW FL, I'm active outdoors and quite used to the heat. I haven't mowed my yard in over a month, it's 3' high. Can't go to my camp in the swamp, my favorite thing.
My gf is from the Philippines and it's too hot for HER.
Come on guys, it's our turn to remedy to this disaster and to make the world a better place!
We can totally do it. Let's work togheter and let's work hard, there's nothing more beautiful than to think of possible solutions that would make us all live better.
We can totally do it. Let’s work togheter and let’s work hard, there’s nothing more beautiful than to think of possible solutions that would make us all live better.
Maybe we can. But climate preservation is clearly not working: Humanity is not disciplined enough, not capable of working together enough and too focused on short term gains.
I think our only hope for optimism lies in climate engineering and full-on terraforming, it's more our style. But of course, it's about just as scary and can go totally wrong.
But climate preservation is clearly not working: Humanity is not disciplined enough
We are but we have to reach absolute tipping point first we only turn back from the edge when we're right on it. That has always been how governments operate.
Up till the Cuban missile crisis the American military were all about using nukes in every possible situation for in even a small conflict. After the crisis they started to back off from that policy. The insanity of it was always clear, but until we actually got to the edge no one was prepared to act.
Our need to survive will always lead us to make a true change. Climate engineering and terraforling can surely be a way but it's not enough for now, we need an immediate solution to deal with the current problems, we need to understand the technologies we have now and what we can do with them.
Read Make Room! Make Room! if you want a grim and realistic picture of the future (though I don't agree with the notion that overpopulation is the problem).
Genuinely curious why you don't agree with overpopulation as being a problem. Mathematically, more people on the same finite rock means less rock for each individual person. Since resources are tied to amount of rock available, it seems to mathematically check out.
It might be a problem, but I don't think it's the cause of extreme weather and climate change (or scarcity, poverty, hunger etc.). The dominant economic and political system is.
Also I believe it will be eventually possible to either build comfortable cities in deserts and permafrost tundra (or even on the sea floor) or transform those to less hostile biomes (although there are ethical and aesthetical considerations) provided we don't go extinct due to climate change before we have a chance to address overpopulation concerns.
So how screwed are we? Obviously this isn't good, but I don't think it's going to stop here - and at least in the US it doesn't seem like the political landscape is going to change any time soon. So is this bad enough for people to start having to do something like move away from the equator? Or are we approaching a legit "move to Mars" scenario?
Change latitude, change altitude, save up for an off-grid power system, maybe learn a few things about living off the grid in general. I don’t think we could make earth less habitable than mars if we tried, but we are pushing it toward not being to support as much life as it does right now.
Greed going from a well understood vice and personal failing to an aspirational core value for developed nations caused this. Society has yet to even begin to reject the message of the oligarch class to consume and produce value for them and their unquenchable greed. Unsustainable expectations of infinite economic growth/metastasis on a finite world is absolutely insane and how we got here.
There is no hope for humanity short or medium term. The only faint long term hope is that whatever amount of humanity that survives the self-inflicted greed-pocalypse actually learns that driving/incentivizing competition between humans will lead to disaster, and that we must share, cooperate, and consider the consequences of our actions for our species. The global economy chose "die alone" over "live together." The endgame of which being those luxury bunker compounds capitalism's few winners have been building in temperate areas to die alone of old age inside to spare themselves of the consequences of their actions on everyone else, you and I who will have to learn to subsist in the new normal climate, or die by its hands.
Jubilant, shameless capitalistic selfishness as a core value is how we got here. If we refuse to learn that lesson even after we start dropping like flies from heat, crop failures, and lack of fresh water for decades, then our extinction will be well deserved.
We are completely screwed. One reason nobody in positions of power are doing anything is because they know this, and also money. All these green initiatives are simply another handout or money grab until the end. Not that we shouldn't try or stop inventing new technology, but we must keep our expectations in line with reality as well.
To answer your questions though, yeah, in our final years, humanity will be split between the North and South poles. Areas around the equator will be too hot to sustain human life. I wonder what our communication would look like then, being unable to physically travel between poles.
Anyway, this endgame scenario is probably a bit past our lifetimes now, but not by much. We will get to see the beginning of the end, so to speak, probably around 2030s-2050s climate change will become extreme enough for it to be undeniable to the masses. Expect mass deaths from famine, disease, heat, drought, extreme weather, inability to grow food, etc., the usual, but worldwide.
You can escape it for a while but eventually the entire planet will become hostile to most life as we know it. Maybe some microbes will be able to survive but not much else in the way of more complex lifeforms.
in our final years, humanity will be split between the North and South poles.
It isn't as simple as that. Some models suggest that the Sahara will green and be human inhabitable. Similarly, many models have habitable islands in Central America, South and Southeast Asia, etc. On the other hand, many polar regions (in particular the Atlantic coast of Europe) may actually become too cold (or too variable) for humans.
I always thought it it was frightening enough to realize, if you were born in the 80's, every year of your life had been the hottest year on record. Will stacking hottest days consecutively hit harder? I get the sense that it won't hit all that hard until the capitalists can no longer keep off-loading the cost of climate change on the public. The outcry at that stage should be something to behold. I'm really sorry to the younger people watching us all give up, but every year of our lives has been the hottest in history and nobody has done anything about it no matter how willing we've been to do our part.
Roughly 500 years ago, maybe more. Recordings are spotty up to the 19th century. Monestaries often had a daily log of current weather, for example. There are likely recovered observations going back to Greek or Roman civilizations.
Average temperatures can be deduced from scientific observations of ice cores and geological records as well. The arctic and antartic ice cores revealed detailed oxygen, carbon dioxide, and particulate data going back a couple million years.
Who doesn't know of the Summer of 1931 where everything was so much hotter than today, but they just didn't have the technolgy back then to keep the records they made?...