The US has such a huge pool of people using the dollar that when they do seigniorage they're essentially taxing the world instead of only their citizens. It's kind of obscene and why the imperialists are very hostile to BRICs.
this could be one of those bell curve memes where the low end and high end are the moron/jedi guys saying “just print more money” and the middle of curve has a freshman Econ student trying to explain macroeconomics.
Yeah, exactly what I was thinking. Like, it isn't quite as simple as "print $1m for everyone and they can all go out and buy Ferraris." But, there are plenty of situations where the government can just print the money and it won't cause inflation or any other harmful effects.
It would do nothing to wealth inequality. The assets the current billionaires own would just become valued at a trillion dollars, or even a quadrillion depending on how badly devalued the dollar became.
The funny irony is that because money is mostly made up bullshit anyway, we kinda could just decide to print more money and keep its value. Granted, it would take the unanimous agreement of basically everyone on this silly little planet, so the chances of this ever occurring are effectively absolute zero, but still, there is no actual rule that says we cant except for the ones we ourselves created
Money is made up, but it's definitely real. Magic is made up and fake. If it actually exists and does something, it's real. You can bring something from non-existence and make it real. It has no intrinsic value.
And I suspect you might even suggest the only real aspect of economics boils down to supply vs demand regardless of what the thing in supply or demand is?
Ehhh, not sure I'd go that far. Money, no matter what backs it, is just what people value it as. Just that when backed by real goods, e.g. gold, that it gives people a better reason to value it because the goods are worth something.
Mostly saying, money backed by a good have at least the value of the good itself. Which I would say makes money not fake.
Printing more money and using it for public works or giving it directly to the poor could be a valid form of wealth redistribution that doesn't require collecting taxes. The problem of course is capital, it's immune to this kind of inflation, though rich people who have their wealth in debt would be hurt.
All government spending is done by "printing money", at least in monetary sovereign countries like the US, UK, and other countries issuing their own cureencies. The government is the monopoly issuer of the currency and cannot run out of it, just like the scorekeeper of a baseball match cannot run out of points. Taxes are also not for funding the government, but for removing momey from circulation, precisely to curb inflation. (Also to drive the value of the currency by making people demand it to be able to pay their taxes).
Thus "printing money" isn't in itself inflationary, as long as the newly created money is spent on something where there is excess production capacity.
The question for the government is never "can we afford it", but rather "are the real resources there to achieve it".
Yeah, this is the common MMT definition of money, I think.
Another way to think of it is that all money is IOUs. This one's a bit hard to wrap your head around, but it works.
Start with government spending. A mail carrier walks through sleet and hail to deliver mail, a service they're doing on behalf of the government. The government says "thanks for all that work, I owe you" and gives them a pile of IOUs in the form of dollars. Whenever the government receives a good or a service from a person or a company, it gives them an IOU in exchange.
Going back to the mail carrier, their work day is done, so they stop off at a supermarket. They grab some milk and some sausages and go to the cash. Now, maybe it would be possible for the mail carrier to do some kind of work in exchange for the groceries. Maybe advise them on how to ship things efficiently, or maybe just help stock shelves. But, it's much easier just to hand over some IOUs. So, they hand over some of the IOUs (dollars) they got from the government. Now, the government owes the supermarket, rather than the mail carrier.
So, the store keeps doing business. It collects a bunch of IOUs from various customers, and issues a bunch of IOUs to its suppliers. When tax time rolls around, the store has a whole bunch of IOUs (originally from the government, but given in by various customers). Since the store owes the government for things like providing police to keep things secure, the FDA for keeping the food safe, and so-on, it effectively "cancels" that debt by almost ripping up the IOUs. Well, really, it hands the IOUs back to the government and allows the government to rip them up.
So, you can see the whole economy as the government issuing IOUs as spending. Those IOUs enter the economy and flow around, and people want to hang onto them because they know that in April the governments going to come around to settle things. Tax time is basically a point where people who didn't do any work directly for the government can say "Yeah, I didn't do any work for you, but I did give that mail carrier some milk and sausages, and he handed over your IOUs, so I'm giving those to you now". And the government says "Yep, fair enough". It collects the IOUs and rips them up, and the whole thing starts over.
In the past, this actually used to be a lot more explicit. When you could exchange your US dollars for gold, the idea that it was an IOU for the gold was a bit more explicit. These days we don't need the gold. It's an IOU not for gold, but for work done.
Totally agree. The intial tax liability declared in a currency has the purpose of creating demand for the currency so that people, either directly or indirectly, want to work for the government to get the money they are issuing.
This effect is probably most import when the currency is first created, but at the same time also the most important function of tax: It is what goves the money its value.
Thus “printing money” isn’t in itself inflationary
Your conclusion doesn't follow from what you said.
Inflation is merely the change in subjective value of a currency over time. Inflation goes up when people want more money for the same stuff.
If the government creates money to fund something, that pulls resources (employees, production, etc) from other parts of the economy, increasing the costs of the remaining resources since there's less available. That's inflation.
The Covid stimulus packages are a fantastic example of this, because it directly resulted in more money chasing fewer goods (less production). There would've been inflation anyway since net production decreased, but the stimulus package exacerbated it. A significant amount of the inflation we saw recently was a mix of COVID supply chain disruption and Trump and Biden's stimulus bills.
Excess production is deflationary, but that doesn't mean printing money to cover isn't inflationary, it just means you can counter deflation from one source with inflation from another.
The question for the government is never “can we afford it”, but rather “are the real resources there to achieve it”.
Sure. But at that point we're not talking about inflation anymore. If the government really wants something, it can get it, but that will have consequences. The question is whether it's a net benefit, and how to fund it:
a hidden tax through printing money (inflation)
direct tax - income tax, capitation tax, etc
indirect tax - sales tax, tariffs, etc
Each option has consequences, and generally speaking, you get less of whatever you tax, if the tax is high enough.
Please, multiple studies were done about the causes of the recent wave of inflation and they determined that the vast majority of it was a result of greedy corporations taking the opportunity to boost their profits.
[...] pulls resources (employees, production, etc) from other parts of the economy, increasing the costs of the remaining resources since there's less available.
That is why I specified that there needed to be excess productive capacity for whatever they are buying. As long as the economy is not at full employment, the government isn't bidding up the prices with its spending.
At full employment though, you are absolutely right.
But then we’ll go on and say stuff like “taxpayer money”, “how are we gonna pay for that”, or “our grandkids are gonna have to pay back the national debt”.
The pursuit of a “balanced budget” is one of the most successful bits of propaganda ever.
I think the problem isn’t that there is a lack of money which could be solved by printing more, but that there is a lack of money because like 6 guys have stolen most of it and piled it up under their mattresses with no intention of actually using it at any point.
Prices should be set by the king tho, the only acceptable rate of inflation is zero.
Prices of goods on a market are set by Supply:Demand Equilibrium
If a business knows they can charge more for a good or service and still sell enough to get more profit than selling them all quickly and cheaply, then they have to calculate what to sell at to optimize profits.
You can chart out the supply and the demand as a function of price with inverse correlation at varying strengths, *implying that supply will change to meet market demand so long as enough capable workforce exists to accomplish it.
Now apply this concept to Money.
If Money is plentiful and people are more willing to spend money on goods and services, then the providers of those goods and services will raise the prices to maximize the gains. In this example the regulatory bodies might use Bonds to reclaim and retire money and/or use a variety of techniques targeting loan interest rates in various ways to limit the *creation of money.
If Money is Scarce, then the prices will lower until they reach a threshold at which A) it cannot be produced for cheaper or B) somebody somewhere needs it and therefor will pay the price no matter how comparatively steep. Since these two scenarios are generally quite bad in the context of unnecessary human suffering, unprofitable goods and service industries generally receive subsidies so that regulatory bodies can keep a steady calculated amount of necessary supplies available to citizens far into the future, examples give: food, medicine, hygiene, or housing.
This also has an effect on exchange rates for trade partners. You can set a price on money. If your money is more valuable than another country's money as a result of their willingness to purchase that money as an investment, then it makes sense to trade and buy up their cheap goods. The USA's financial system is built around this concept of lending to struggling economies and providing data-heavy telecommunications services, built on the back of their decades of leading the pack for telecommunications technology and their leadership roles in many trade organizations including World Bank headquartered in Washington DC. Basically, the value of USD is dependent on investors in the EU and China owning US Treasury Bonds.
So it becomes obvious to most of us that creation of money can oftentimes be beneficial, but it also devalues savings and bonds, so it's often thought a delicate balance is needed to maintain value.
*implying - it's not always true that supply reflects demand in the same way that demand relies on supply, many modern economic theories revolve around the idea that Supply has much more power and therefor regulatory actions which focus on supply are more effective fiscal policies.
*creation of money - Loans create money. If you lend 100 dollars at 5% interest then you get back 105 dollars. While the debt is yet to be repaid, that 5 dollars exists. Debts can be traded as well. At first it doesn't seem like it would add up to much, but in fact Bonds act as Debts and also large Loans are very very very common for the USA, and this all sort of stacks year after year until it's reached the current point where the majority of USD is non-M1 M2 which is to say money that doesn't physically exist: digital money and promissory notes.
Theres a lot more but I can't be asked to teach economics.
Might be easier to just show the really slow ones a clip of the black and white footage of Germans setting wheelbarrows of their own worthless money on fire after the war.
It's not particularly difficult to fix the economy.
Make a law. This law will require the head of the IRS go to the richest person in the country, and give them the option of writing a check large enough that they are knocked out of the top 1%, or playing a round of Russian Roulette.
Repeat every month, and the problems of wealth disparity will be solved in about a year.
It is much harder to "hide" wealth in the form of the highly regulated financial assets that are creating the wealth disparity problems. It is much easier to "hide" wealth in largely unregulated tangible assets, like yachts, private jets, and other things that workers produce. When they buy that jet, they pay the salary of an airplane builder. When they buy that yacht, they pay the salary of a shipbuilder.
The problem isn't solved by taking away their riches. The problem is solved when those riches are spent. If they don't want to do the spending, the government is perfectly capable of spending it for them.
The problem here is that a government does not in fact have the ability to decide how much their currency is valued, they can only indirectly influence it. When they try to pretend like it's just a "rule" they can set like "here is the mandated exchange rate, we'll put you in jail if you make trades at any other price" is when things get real stupid.
India made a run at wealth hoarding by issuing a new currency. They declared it was worth something like 5 old currency and you had to personally turn in old money to get new money. You couldn't just digital it.
I have no clue how well that did or didn't work but they haven't imploded yet. So there's a lot more play in this money thing than the finance industry would like us to believe.
Have you peeps never heard of modern monetary theory (mmt)? Macroeconomics is not so simple! Most people talking about have the knowledge of a minor in business econ though
So let me ask you this. If the U.S. "printed" 20T dollars (really just say it exists in an account). Then they start investing that in the market... The value of the money in theory would decay by 14% (rough math) but the market would thrive from the increase in buying.
That said. It would "hurt" the lower classes purchasing power at first. But the interest made off that 20T is enough to build every person in the U.S. a new house every 30 years assuming the average household is 2.5 people. At first you would be building new ones and repurposing old ones. But after 15 years or so, you would have the country all sans rent/mortgage payments, which frees up their money to be spent on things like resteraunts, movies, plays, sports, whatever it is people do. So the economy would be growing, while homelessness would be gone foreve and everyone would have a $250,000 equivalent house built/renovated every 30 years. Which because of the mass building projects and it all being purchased from one group.. would likely be like getting a $400,000 in todays market. This doesn't mean people can't save and invest money to have a larger dwelling and size up, just that everyone would have the base $400,000 equivalent house in a restabilized economy where everyone is less stressed and free-er to spend money at ease not worrying about becoming homeless if something goes wrong.
Does this mean some people will choose to work less, maybe. But with automation growing the way it is, we really have less work and more people already. It would also give us the opportunity to build some new cities/towns built around more walking and less car dependency, which would promote public health and people not being as reclusive if they don't want.
Idk, it would never happen, but I'm just saying it could probably happen and we choose not to because people think helping everyone is bad.
Edit: the number of stress based mental issues alleviated by this would be huge. Less reasons to murder and rob people as well, so crime would likely drop
I think there are flaws and oversimplifications in that statement even before taking into account the planetary boundaries and international development dynamics...
Basically the state can invest without causing inflation by printing money as long as it leads to activating productivity and not to competing with other consumers for goods and services which are at their limits already.
Btw I am not a macro economist by trade the mmt just makes the most sense in comparison to other (neoliberal or classic) models
just declare the leaf to be the official currency ... from one of the books in "The hitchhikers guide to the Galaxy" ... which is, you should know, the only trilogy in five books.
I do sometimes wonder if you could technically still run a working government off printing money, just recognizing that doing so didnt create more value, but instead acted as a form of taxation. Imagine a government that currently holds no significant fraction of its currency. It then prints an amount equal to what is currently in circulation, doubling the money supply and in doing so presumably halving the value of a given unit of that currency. Once it has done so, no new value is created, but that government has gone from having no significant fraction of the money in circulation, to having half of it, which it can now spend.
Suppose you did this predictably, you let everyone know that you will be increasing the money supply by x percent every year, and will be re-denominating it to avoid difficult to work with numbers at set intervals. Wouldnt you technically have a functioning system for extracting value from the economy to pay for government functions?
It might not be a very good system, since all it would effectively tax is people's savings of currency and not stuff like property, and you would have to set up things like employment contracts or debts to compensate for constant high inflation rates, but Im not sure I see a reason why it technically couldn't be done.
On a technical level, it would (probably) work. But I think it would feel terrible for the most people : the middle class would see it's savings melt away unless they lock a lot of it in investments, and people would have to reevaluate their value scale much more regularly than now. And the capital would likely not be "taxed" that in much in this setup.
You kinda just explained modern monetary theory. The US, UK, Canada, and a few other countries don't get money from taxes, they owe debt to themselves and earn it back through the next printing. There is a budgetary limit though, which is the amount of labor and resources available to the government
I started turning my American Dollars into Euros. Here's hoping that mitigates the economic damage that will come from Elon's stupidity.
Honestly, I don't like messing around with money since I don't really understand it...but if I don't, I fear that I won't be able to get onto a lifeboat. It also makes me feel silly being proactive. Here's hoping my Blue State would either vindicate or placate my fears.
Interesting story but it's also talking about how inflation was at 80% in Brazil in the 1980s, because they were printing money. What they did in 1993 with the URVs is a fascinating psychological experiment, but I'm not sure if it was the critical factor in stopping inflation. As per the article
It wasn't the only trick, obviously. While they put URVs in place, the group of economists made the government balance its budget and slow down on money creation.
So I feel like it was basic economic policy that mostly worked, rather than printing money and trying to dictate its value.
That’s precisely why the DOGE takeover of the payment system is so scary. Government money isn’t being transferred from some limited pool of taxpayer funds, it’s spent into existence out of thin air.
We also borrow, in the form of bonds, but that’s mostly to tame inflation by taking currency temporarily out of circulation with the promise of a later profit for the bond holder. (And also to encourage long-term investment in domestic currency.)
Given we have multiple examples of printing money leading to inflation and eventually hyperinflation, and we have 0 examples of printing money not leading to that, it's reasonable to conclude there is a causative link.
Both Weimar and Zimbabwe, and all other examples of hyperinflationary economies (many Latin American countries come to mind), had large debts denominated in foreign currencies, or had fixed exchange rates with such. This makes the government depenent on aquireing these forein currencies which they themselves cannot issue. Printing your own currency to pay these debts is definately inflationary, but doing so to pay for goods priced in your own domestic currency, when there is excess productive capacity, is not.
Imagine there's a new issue of a famous comic book being printed (the series doesn't matter; take your pick). But the caveat is that there's only going to be ONE copy printed. Only one in existence. That single issue could potentially be worth millions, because it's so desirable for comic book nerds and they all want to get their hands on it. Only the wealthiest of collectors will be able to throw enough money at it to win an auction, which raises its value significantly.
Now imagine the publisher decides to make 100 copies instead. The value of that issue is now much cheaper; maybe worth several thousand dollars per comic, because there are a handful of them floating around now. Still, only wealthy collectors will be able to afford bidding on a copy, but at least the top 100 bids will win a copy. Raising the value, but not as much as if they are all bidding on a single product.
Now imagine 100,000 copies are made. Now it's mostly a standard printing, and it's only worth the cover price for a comic nowadays (what, like $3.99 or so?)
The more copies that are out there, the easier it is to find and acquire, and thus the cheaper its value is. Same goes for money; the more printed bills that are out there, the less value each bill has, and you'll need more of them to afford basic products. Which is why inflation is a thing, because we're constantly printing more money each year.
In reference to my point about comic book values, there are only about 100 copies left in existence of the first Superman comic (Action Comic #1). A single copy sold last year for $6 million, and its condition was only rated 8.5/10, which means it's a little rough around the edges from wear and tear. Not even a pristine comic book, and it still cost millions to buy!
That same issue sold for 10 cents when it was first made in 1938, but the fact that comics were made to be read and then discarded back then means most people never held on to their comic books and their numbers have dwindled over the years. Now Superman is a huge deal - one of the best-selling comics of all time - and his first appearance in a comic book is so rare, people will spend millions just to have an original copy.
Then, imagine if the comic printing company had a guy with a gun going around demanding everyone give him an amount of comic books each year. Now suddenly everyone is looking to get the comic books, driving their values up.
This is how taxes are driving the value of modern money.
are we still in the "the state should just go further into debt to pay for infrastructure" or already in the "fuck, that was a big mistake, what do we do with all that debt now?" stage? i can't tell anymore.
The government "debt" is not a problem whatsoever. It cannot be a problem. The so called debt is simply the difference between the amount of money created and the amount taxed. If there was no "debt" there couldn't be any saving in an economy. If the government wanted to, it could simply "print" the money to pay off all its debt tomorrow. It souldn't necessarily be a smart thing to do, but there wouldn't be any financial constraints stopping them from doing it.
However, i'm worried that it does not actually work that way. It is short-sighted and ignores second-round consequences.
For example, first of all, where do all these savings go to? They go to the rich, making the poor poorer. As such, if the government goes into debt instead of taxing the rich, it actually contributed through its inaction to make the poor poorer. The government should tax the rich instead of printing more money.
Secondly, if the government does print more money to rid itself of its debt (as you have rightfully suggested), that leads to hyperinflation, which mostly tolls the poor, because they have more difficulty stabilizing in a shaking environment that the big companies.
Thirdly, probably the government can print lots of money once to rid itself of the debt, but it can only do so once. Because once it has done so, people will assume "money has no value anyway, if it can just lose all its meaning overnight", and stop considering that money as valuable in the first place. Therefore, that is the end of paper money. What do you do then?