"It affects all of us because we are essentially experiments in public roads."
Tesla Whistleblower Says 'Autopilot' System Is Not Safe Enough To Be Used On Public Roads::"It affects all of us because we are essentially experiments in public roads."
I lost all trust in their 'Autopilot' the day I read Musk said (Paraphrasing) "All we need are cameras, there's no need for secondary/tertiary LIDAR or other expensive setups"
Like TFYM? No backups?? Or backups to the backups?? On a life fucking critical system?!
As much as I lost trust in his bullshittery a long time ago, his need to mention the cost of critical safety systems is what stuck out to me the most here. That's how you know the priorities are backwards.
Skimping on cost is how disasters happen. Ask Richard Hammond. "Spared no expense" my ass, hire more than 2 programmers, you cheap fuck.
Edit: This was supposed to be a Jurassic Park reference, but my dumb ass mixed up John Hammond and Richard Hammond. That's what I get for watching Top Gear and reading at the same time.
Ah, but you see, his reasoning is that what if the camera and lidar disagree, then what? With only a camera based system, there is only one truth with no conflicts!
Like when the camera sees the broad side of a white truck as clear skies and slams right at it, there was never any conflict anywhere, everything went just as it was suppo... Wait, shit.
The truck driver, Frank Baressi, 62, told the Associated Press that the Tesla driver Joshua Brown, 40, was “playing Harry Potter on the TV screen” during the collision and was driving so fast that “he went so fast through my trailer I didn’t see him”.
Bot to be a hard-on about it, but if the cameras hace any problem autopilot ejects gracefully and hands it over to the driver.
I aint no elon dicj rider, but I got FSD andd the radar would see manhole covers and freak the fuck out. It was annoying as hell and pissed my wife off. The optical depth estimation is now far more useful than the radar sensor.
Lidar has severe problems too. I've used it many times professionally for mapping spaces. Reflective surfaces fuck it up. It delivers bad data frequently.
Cameras will eventually be great! Really they already are, but they'll get orders of magnitude better. Yeah 4 years ago the ai failed to recognize a rectagle as a truck, but it aint done learning yet.
That driver really should have been paying attention. Thee car fucking tells you to all the time.
If a camera has a problem the whole system aborts.
In the future this will mean the car will pull over, but it''s, as it makes totally fucking clear, in beta. So for now it aborts and passes control to the human that is payong attention.
any problem autopilot ejects gracefully and hands it over to the driver.
Gracefully? LMAO
You can come back when it gives at least 3 minutes warning time in advance, so that I can wake up, get my hands out of the woman, climb into the driver seat, find my glasses somewhere, look around where we are, and then I tell that effing autopilot that it's okay and it is allowed to disengage now!
Starting off with 3d data will always be better than inferring it. Go fire up Adobe after effects and do a 3d track and see how awful it is, now that same awful process drives your car.
The AI argument falls short too because that same AI will be better if it just starts off with mostly complete 3d data from lidar and sonar.
This is exactly the problem. If I'm driving, I need to be alert to the driving tasks and what's happening on the road.
If I'm not driving because I'm using autopilot, ... I still need to be alert to the driving tasks and what's happening on the road. It's all of the work with none of the fun of driving.
Fuck that. What I want is a robot chauffer, not a robot version of everyone's granddad who really shouldn't be driving anymore.
Proof by looking at internal information and data.
The data leaked by Krupski included lists of Tesla employees, often featuring their social security numbers, in addition to thousands of accident reports, and internal Tesla communications. Handelsblatt and others have used these internal memos and emails as the basis for stories on the dangers of Autopilot and the reasons for the three-year delay in Cybertruck deliveries. From NYT:
How does any of that prove the claim? Surely independent crash data would show these vehicles are involved in many more accidents than other vehicles if it's true, but that doesn't seem to be the case.
Employees are usually bound by loyalty and contract not to tell any internals. But public knowledge often needs confirmation, otherwise it is only rumours.
Unfortunately this is one of those things that you can't significantly develop/test on closed private streets. They need the scale, and the public traffic, and the idiots in the drunkards and the kids speeding. The only thing that's going to stop them from working on autopilot will be that it's no longer financially reasonable to keep going. Even a couple handfuls of deaths aren't going to stop them.
Unfortunately this is one of those things that you can't significantly develop/test on closed private streets.
Even if we hold this to be true (and I disagree in large part), the point is that Tesla's systems aren't at that stage yet. Failing to recognize lights correctly during live demos and such are absolutely things you can test and develop on closed streets or in a lab. Tesla's shouldn't be allowed on roads until they're actually at a point where there are no glaring flaws. And then they should be allowed in smaller numbers.
Do you really think they didn't test that before they got to this point?
I'm willing to bet they had been through that intersection before hundreds of times and never seen this. It's not like it can't detect a stoplight and they're just out there randomly running through them all.
Of the millions of variables that were around them something blinded it to light this time. The footage from that run has probably been reviewed at nauseam at this point and is done more for them finding the problem than they could have done sitting in a closed warehouse making guesses when the car never fails to detect a red light.
edit: look keep smacking that downvote, but it's not going to change anything. I hate musk too, but we're going to make progress toward automated driving unless it becomes more dangerous than existing driver. In the next generation or so, most driving will become automated and all deaths by automobiles will drop significantly. Old and young people will get where they need to go. You cannot automate driving without driving in the real world. If you think they haven't been doing this in a simulation for a decade, you're on crack.
That's true, but I think the issue people have with "AutoPilot" is about marketing.
Tesla brands their cars' solution as being a full replacement for human interaction and word from Musk, other Tesla employees, media personalities close to Tesla, and fanboys all make out like the car drives itself and the only reason you need a driver in place is to satisfy laws.
It's bullshit. They know exactly what they're doing when they do the above, when they call their system "AutoPilot", when Musk makes claims his cars can travel from one side of the US to the other without human interaction (only to never actually do it, of course!), and sells car upgrades as Full Self Driving support.
If they branded it as Assisted Driving, Advanced Cruise Control, Smart Cruise, or something along those lines, like all the other carmakers do with their similar systems, I'd be less inclined to blame Tesla when there's an unfortunate incident. I think most would agree with me, too.
But Tesla markets and encourages, both officially and unofficially, that their cars have the ability to drive themselves, look after themselves, and that you're safe when using the system. It's a lie and I'm absolutely astounded they've had little more than a series of slaps on the wrist for it in most markets.
They want people to use it so they get data from it. Accidents and deaths will happen... honestly, they'll always happen... they happen now without it, it's just more acceptable because it's human error. Road safety is absolutely awful.
The reason they get away with it is Lobbying, Money and Political favors. They got where they are by greasing a whole shit ton of wheels with dumptrucks of money.
Should a couple handfuls of deaths if as you said you can't test it any other way? Autopilot systems could already be saving thousands of lives if more widely deployed and a lack of good reliable autopilot systems has the opportunity cost of blood on our hands. Human drivers are well established to be dangerous. Testing and release of autopilot systems should be done as safely as possible, but to think the first decade or so of these systems will be flawless seems unreasonable.
The fact is that most technology that we take for granted today went through a similar evolutionary phase with public use before they became as safe as they are now, especially cars themselves. For well over a century, the automobile has made countless leaps and bounds in safety improvements due to data gathered from public use studies.
That's fine but Waymo, Cruise et al do trials on closed courses and in co-operation with states to assure a high degree of public safety. Tesla is testing without asking regulators.
The comparison is a little flat when you consider autopilot has minimum viable weather and road condition requirements to activate, no snow or hail, etc, while human drivers must endure and perform optimally in all road and weather conditions.
He says this yet they're already out on the roads logging millions of miles without any outsized danger. Just because we get sensational headlines about a driver behind the wheel who crashed into the side of a semi, doesn't mean they're any more dangerous than any other car. AFAIK Tesla still has far fewer wrecks than many others. These driving aids have a lot of room for improvement but they only need to be better than an average driver in order to reduce accidents.
I think it's very likely that specially Tesla would go ahead with technology that is dangerous in certain situations, as long as it only happens rarely.
We all know what kind of a man Elon is.
You would not see the same in other established car brands.
Elon is the kind of man who would break not only eggs, but the chickens and the chicken farmers, to make his omelet, and if people get hurt, he would blame it on them for being stupid.
I would never trust a Tesla because I obviously don't trust Elon and nobody should.
I know it's not the answer you're looking for but, what is safer for pedestrians, cyclists and other drivers, is to have less cars on the roads. Buses can move dozens of people with a single trained professional driver. Trains can move hundreds. It's illogical to try to push for autonomous cars for individuals when we already have "self driving" technologies that are much much safer and much more efficient.
Someone paying proper attention probably would be. But a huge chunk of accidents happen because idiots are looking at their phones or fall asleep on the wheel, and at least a self driving cars, even Teslas on Autopilot, won't do that.