In 2100 I will be 126 so I hope not. Not unless they have massively improved geriatric medicine.
But imagine a worst reality, what if they do invent immortality drugs, and then we're stuck with these idiots forever? What if it's just century after century of the flat Earth conspiracy theorists (despite us clearly having a moon colony) and Andrew Tate.
Your take is not the correct one, longevity treatments (immortality drugs isn't something that can be made) will roll back your physical age by reparing you. Not just forcing life to stay in a decaying body.
So at 126 you'll run around playing basketball and listening to heavy metal, if that's what you like.
I feel this negative outlook isn't very healthy. Yes there are problems, as there have been at any point in history. That doesn't mean nothing good happens or can happen.
Go make some nice things happen to yourself or someone else.
The first quarter of this century is over at the end of 2025.
2001 was the first year in this century. 2025 is the 25th year in this century. 2100 will be the 100th - and last - year in this century.
(1 was the first year in the first century, 100 was the 100th - and last - year in the first century. That's why every subsequent century starts on xx1 or xxx1 as well)
Don't you remember all the pedantic asshats saying that 2000 wasn't a new century? "There was no year zero!", "People just want all the digits to change!", "You're celebrating a year early!"
It's quite interesting. For example Fidel Castro made sure that Cuba celebrated correctly at the end of year 2000. And the U.S. Naval Observatory, official timekeeper for the country, held a party for the new milennium then too.
On a 1' ruler, the first half inch ends at 0.5". All of the measurements within that first inch are "0.x". "1.x" will be in the second inch. "2.x" is in the third inch.
Calendars don't work like that. 1 January 1AD is in the first year, not the second. 31 December 1AD is still in the first year.
364 days after his (ostensible) birth was December 31st, 1AD. At midnight that night (364.999... days) 1 full year was complete, and we entered the second year.
3650 days after 1 January 1AD is 1 January 11AD.
36500 days after 1 January 1 AD is 1 January 101AD.
365000 days after 1 January 1AD is 1 January 1001AD.
31 December 2000 was the last day of the second millenia. The first day of the third millenia was 1 January 2001.
2000 was the last year of the second millennium and also the first year of the 00s. 2001 was the first year of the third millennium and the second year of the 00s.
Apparently yeah. In fact, it's actually easy to tell which years are in the 2nd millenium just by knowing its final year.
But people chose to celebrate the new millenium in 2000 because it's much more fun to have every single digit in a calendar year change than having only one digit change and calling it "a new millenium". Also, January 1, 2000 looks and feels so much cooler in my opinion, unless you write it in the dd/mm/yy format (mm/dd/yy wouldn't make much of a difference), in which case 01/01/01 has that nice satisfying feeling of all variables being the same value.
0.5 years after his ostensible birth is a date within that first year: 30 June 1AD.
1.5 years after his birth is not within that "first year"; it is within the "second year", or 2AD. Just like 1.5" is a measurement that falls within the "second inch" of a ruler.
Extreme poverty worldwide is down from 38% to 8.5% since 2000. Global median income has doubled in that period. And yes, that's adjusted for inflation.
Oh, and renewable energy generation as share of the global energy mix has consistently beaten expectations during that period, too. Solar, specifically.
Bullshit. Global inequality is on a constant rise. The extreme poverty crap is propaganda by the world bank who lowered the poverty line for no other reason than to make capitalism look good.
That stuff about renewaple energy is simple greenwashing. The only year since 2000 when CO2 emissions went down was in 2020 thanks to COVID.
Doesn't look that way to me, given that the change has been pretty smooth and shows up on specific regions and adjusting for outliers and inflation (and matches the rise in median income).
More importantly, it's not incompatible with global inequality on the rise. Different stats measure different things.
Renewable energy beating expectations is the opposite of greenwashing, it specifically compares actual generated renewable energy against previous projections. If you want to poke holes into it for the sake of... denying anything good has ever happened, I guess? you should instead point out at how disproportionately that growth is driven by China.
And again, that's perfectly compatible with CO2 emissions going up. Different stats, different things.
Bullshit. Global inequality is on a constant rise.
You are one of the many who has equivocated the 'wealth gap' with the incidence of poverty, when there is no direct casual relationship between them at all.
All the wealth gap essentially is is just a label of who has the most wealth. But you don't need to be anywhere close to that to be stable/comfortable.
Fact: if everyone on Earth was poor, the wealth gap would be zero. A small/non-existent wealth gap does not equal things being in good shape.
Fact: The correlation between the size of the gap and the incidence of poverty in world history is negative--in other words, long ago, the gap was smaller, and many more people were desperately poor.
Fact: It is absolutely possible for there to be a wealth gap, even one as large or larger than the one we have presently, while no one is poor. Further, it's extremely unlikely that the hypothetical total eradication of poverty would shrink the gap at all, or even slow its growth.
Fact: If you waved a magic wand so that everyone in every county of the US, for example, had their income raised to the median, essentially wiping out poverty nationwide, the size of the wealth gap would literally be unchanged--the gap from broke to comfortable is nothing compared to the gap between comfortable and 'wealthiest on the planet'.
New wealth is created constantly, it is not zero sum and never has been. And there will always be someone who has the most.
P.S. The World Bank's poverty line has never been lowered that I can see, only raised, most recently in 2022 from $1.90 to $2.15 per day. So no idea what you're talking about with 'lowering the poverty line to make capitalism look good'.
I don't know too much about the median income, but I'd wager that it was mostly because the really poor country got a bit better off. Also, at least according to Wikipedia, the latest definition of extreme poverty was made in 2015, before the recent inflation spikes.
And "beat expectations" is just a non-statement. What were the expectations? And how does it matter if we're still on track for a climate catastrophe? We've crossed the 1.5°C target.
but I'd wager that it was mostly because the really poor country got a bit better off.
That's what happened. The bimodal world income distribution has become unimodal as the working class of East Asia has seen a lot of improvement. Inequality in the first world went up since a lot of working class jobs left their countries while the wealthy were able to get richer.
Hey, I'll take poor countries getting a bit better off before any benefits to any American any day. That's good news, so point made.
As for "beat expectations", I was going off a specific study showing multiple official forecasts and how far behind actuals they all were, but unfortunately I don't have it handy.
I don't know why people look at this as such a binary. Climate change isn't an on-off switch. This has to happen regardless. Faster is better than slower. Climate catastrophe or not, we need to figure this out, it's about how bad things get before we do and how much extra work and impact we have to deal with from going over certain thresholds. Going over 1.5 doesn't mean we can give up now, we still have to get the renewable transition done, even if now we also have to deal with a bunch of humanitarian crises that wouldn't have happened had we transitioned sooner.
Cool, but that's unrelated. We need the energy transition to happen anyway. Energy consumption is still climbing regardless, so we still need to move things over to renewables on top of whatever other actions we take. When it comes to climate stuff people tend to want a silver bullet or claim that anything short of that is useless, which I find kind of infuriatingly counterproductive.
Also, data centre power consumption has been up on aggregate on a very smooth curve since the 2000s. AI or no, those things have been burning through an increasing amount of energy over time. They need to generate that energy from clean sources in any case, which requires a faster energy transition.
Incidentally, I don't know if AI datacenters have "erased all gains". I don't have a direct comparison handy, but the numbers I see around for those two things seem an order of magnitude apart. If you have good sources I'd love to take a look, though.
It feels to me like it all went to shit when Bush stole the election from Gore - using the Supreme Court I might add.
I'm 37 this year and I remember being a kid at a time when we were all more optimistic and well off. When a middle class existed in the west. When we were told the world was our oyster and we just had to study and work hard to get anything we wanted. That piece of advice was valid to a handful of us millenials, diminishing to those born in the 1990s. My husband is 31 and has never been on an overseas holiday - the differences in privilege just being born 6 years later are stark and upsetting. It's only gotten worse for younger generations and the people who did all this are cackling as they push their boots in harder on our throats.
As a pacifist I just don't know what to do anymore other than try to live my life among the damned and hope it resolves itself before something comes for me and mine.
Born 1980 remember all the privilege we had before that day. Hell at 19 I lived on my own in one bedroom apartment. I remember working at Walmart in my 20's and still afford to have an apartment of my own. Started to go down hill in 2006. Before then I never needed roommates or someone else help pay bills.
Even at 22 making 6.25 an hour and had a studio apartment. You couldn't do that now on 12 an hour. Not without living in a getto.
yeah i;m 41 and remember when i could buy ammunition without a question asked, when i was 10, and canadian. ive been fucking mad at the federal government for 30 fucking years over their demanding i give an open search warrant to the cops to legally possess what was over the counter to me as a child. "what radicalized me" fucking federal Liberals
Yes, definitely. Americans are realizing that their country is shit too and they are not exempt from falling into an Autocracy. Maybe that will teach them a bit more compassion with other people around the world and will stop the arrogance of bringing "democracy" (because it's "clearly the best form of state") to countries who don't want it.
The american system is not a guarantee for the wellbeing of the people, and now that americans finally understand that, we can start actual constructive dialogue based on mutual respect, i hope.
Yes. The fediverse wouldn't get much awareness if it wasn't for Twitter and Reddit absolutely shutting themselves. I wouldn't even be here if that never happened.
At least this time around there's no central server that can be shut down killing everything that exists in that platform. Obviously AOL Instant Messenger and many other popular messaging apps from that era suffered from this exact fate.
Haven't thought of AOL in years but recently it's been coming up at random. On a TV show last night somebody's neighbor said "Check your AOL" because they sent an email that morning and the person hadn't replied yet.
So much good stuff has happened (in addition to all the bad stuff that also happened). The US elected its first black president. The ACA although far from perfect is a massive massive improvement over the situation that existed before it. There have been lots of improvements in medicine like rna vaccines, which have been in development for decades, and thankfully all that hard work came to fruition right when the world needed it and it saved millions of lives worldwide.
And tons more good stuff happened. We're talking about 25ish years, so of course tons of good stuff happened in addition to everything else
Yep. That's because there can't be a "0th year after that one geezer was born". It's -1 BC (the last year before) and then immediately 1 AD (the first year after).
(I know they did the calculations wrong and it should actually be somewhere around -6 to -4. That doesn't change the fact that there is no year 0.)
Kids don't start at 1 because they can't be 0, you start counting by days weeks and months and then years. This wasn't even a problem though, because in the 0th year people weren't walking around referencing dates according to whatever calendar we use.
If no years have elapsed then it's the 0th year.
It sounds to me as though some idiot named the 0th year "1", which just happens to be a numeral.
Steam is frankly a horrible measure of Linux adoption because of the Steam Deck. I guarantee that most of the Linux users on Steam are people with Steam Decks that do not use them as their main PC.
Ooh! The dust bowl of the 30's and the, I'm sure, many many ecological and natural disasters heading our way will have nice synergy on your list as well.
Conservatism has dragged America fifty years behind in tech progress and wasted all of our resources on destruction over building.
I wish this country would get fucking NUKED. America is a dismal failure on every level
We could be driving electric cars and having solar panels everywhere.
We could be having the fastest wifi network.
We could have high speed trains.
Medical advances as well. I don't even want to go into the vaccine territory.
All of those things were considered problematic by the old guard, who conservatives supported. One side continues to protect the yacht owning class. Conservatives would still be fighting marijuana if the rest of the population didn't tell them to fuck off.
And if you think this is all wishy-washy speculation, get the fuck out of America for a minute and look around the rest of the world. American cities are no where near other international cities in terms of living, quality, tech, support. You have to be dumb as fuck to not recognize how often Conservatives vote against tech initiatives to line their own pockets.
Ehh looking at semi conductor & solar panel production I see what this persons saying. "Losing 50 years of tech progress" isn't quite accurate definitely, however the US has decayed its tech lead compared to the space race era, for example.
The thing about losing progress is you can’t know where you would be if priorities were different.
If the same amount of passion and resources was poured into the space program for the last 50 years as it was during the moon landing we would certainly be much further ahead, but no one would be able to tell you where would we be.
How do expect someone to describe something that hasn’t been invented yet?