I see little evidence that many moderate republican or independents are going to vote for a convicted rapist to be the leader of the free world. Just my take on it. Just having the maga cult in his pocket is not enough votes to unseat an incumbent president.
Really? I see so much evidence for that. Because they've done it before. Republicans have shown time and time again that they have no qualms whatsoever with voting for anyone as long as they have the word Republican next to their name. That's the strength of their party. They may gripe and b**** about it but they always fall into line, election day.
Democrats underestimated how unpopular Clinton was with moderates, which is how Trump got elected.
Now it's the other way around. Trump already lost to Biden because everyone but the Republicans loathed him by that point, and he's only been worse ever since.
I'm not counting eggs before they hatch, but when it comes down to it I think that Biden can carry the election as long as Dems and moderates show up to vote.
In 2016 I was so certain that Trump would lose to Hillary, that when he won I was in complete disbelief. Over the last 8 years I've spent a lot of time working with a lot of blue-collar people and have spent a lot of time talking to them about their beliefs. And while I don't share those beliefs, I understand how they got there.
And as unbelievable as it may be to some of us, there are a large portion of population that thinks of Biden just as lowly as we may think of Trump. And they have their reasons. They have their own echo chamber that makes them believe that there's not a single chance that Biden will wil, just like how we have our own echo chamber telling us the opposite.
And from what I can see, the right is a lot more enthusiastic about their candidate then the left is about theirs. That's the only reason I think Trump will end up winning.
Don't forget Trump has only ever won once - in 2016 - and even then he lost the popular vote by 3 million. Every single major race since then - the 2018 midterms, the 2020 presidential election, the 2022 midterms - he or his endorsed candidates either outright lost or failed to live up to expectations. Don't get me wrong, I'm as anxious as anybody else and I'll believe it when I see it, but if I were to place a bet I'd bet he's going to lose yet again.
Just because you decided that he wasn't supposed to win the presidency last time, doesn't mean he didn't already sit in the chair for 4 years. If it's happened before, it can happen again. And I think it unfortunately will.
My conclusions are that Hamas is an organization that doesn't actually care about the people of Gaza and it uses them as a tool to further their own aims and benefits. I think that's the only reasonable conclusion anyone with a brain could make.
"Generic Democrat" polls better than Biden. You can argue he has a chance, but you can't argue that he's popular, or polling well against Trump. I kind of take issue with "crushed" a descriptor of 2020 too. Skin of his teeth seems more reasonable, and in an environment that's completely different from right now. They did it with Hillary, another very unpopular candidate and we got Trump. They're doing it again now, and it seems nuts to go so balls out against actual voters rather than the people who are literally deciding who the candidate is. But what do I know🤷♂️
Generic Democrat/Republican beat their respective candidates quite often, actually. It's easy to be appealing as a literal non-existent entity with no baggage that represents an average of one of the two most common voter groups. Not really interested in arguing with you on any of the rest of it, but that piece is not as supportive an argument as people are making it out to be.
I will absolutely blame you. I wanted Sanders enough to switch parties to vote for him in the primary. I get it.
But this time isn't about getting what we want. This is about reducing harm. The math is simple, more people will die and suffer under Trump. He will vilify the weakest of us to give his base red meat to chew on. Do you not have enough examples as to what happens when a population is dehumanized? Is that a thing you will allow in order to keep your ideals pristine?
You want change? Start local. Find like minded people and build a resilient community -that's where we can find power. Start voting people into office from the bottom up.
It's a sprint right now to stop the worst from happening but a marathon to make an equitable society.
The Republican Congress since Mitch McConnell's 2010 class is responsible for killing most government action since the middle of the Obama administration. The Republican party is the actual problem.
"I hope we all lose American Democracy to punish my neighbors that don't hold the exact same political views as me! Now we can ALL be unhappy forever!"