As January marks five years on from Britain leaving the EU, Alicja Hagopian and Kate Devlin explore its impact
Summary
Five years after Brexit, its promises of sovereignty, economic gains, and reduced migration remain unfulfilled. While Brexit offers regulatory flexibility, its overall impacts are largely negative.
The UK economy has suffered a £100bn annual output loss, with GDP 4% smaller than it would have been without Brexit.
Trade barriers have reduced exports, particularly to the EU, with small businesses and sectors like agriculture and fishing hit hardest.
Migration has surged to record levels, but net EU migration has turned negative.
Public dissatisfaction is high, with 59% believing Brexit has gone poorly.
So the folks getting a lot of the flak today are more likely to be remainers, I wonder how that's going to pan out in the long run (spoiler, it'll go as well as Brexit).
The ones cleaning up the mess in the UK are not the ones who voted for it - keep that in mind.
The problem with the modern media is that they frame everything in the context of money. Thus they ignore that the Britons joined just for the economy. They are a staunchly capitalist country that never managed to fit within the EU spirit. They kept resisting the integration and asking opt-outs for every initiative. During the exit process they acted as spoilt children, they absorbed all the attention and time of the European council and brought all the other activities nearly to a standstill. All of that tedious process ended up with a partial exit, the UK is still standing on the edge with one foot in and another out.
At this point I think that the best thing to do to stop crying over the spilled milk and do not even dare to think to come back, it would be just a pain for everybody.
And almost six in 10 Britons (59 per cent) think that Brexit has gone fairly or very badly, with just 12 per cent believing it has gone well, according to a YouGov poll in October.
Right-wing politics is a scam that people fall for again and again. How often do we see these polls saying right-wing voters are disappointed when exactly what everyone told them would happen happens? Then they fall for the next right-wing scam and do it all over again. No learning ever seems to occur.
Because no learning has to occur. The most anger inducing thing about right wing shitfuckery is that to fight against it, it pushes us to do shit that's... tantamount to right wing shitfuckery.
In other words, the only language they have understood is power and we're failing by refusing to accept that the reason they don't learn is because we haven't sufficiently dickslapped them into next fucking Thursday over it.
I know I'm speaking in USA examples, but I've seen the same of britain, using kid gloves with white people and cracking down on brown people. Like the whole shebang about "grooming gangs" in the UK is a firestorm of racism and blaming it on immigrants while the statistics and numbers actually say its widely white british people organizing grooming gangs.
What actually needs to happen is we need to give them what they ask for. They want more law and order and harsher sentences? Fine, that's what they will get for their bullshit, locked up with less patience and understanding with severely long sentences to keep these fucking idiots who refuse to learn off our fucking streets. They're the real street trash that needs to be taken the fuck out. If they want to cry all day about being victims of the system, we can show them what real victims of the system deal with.
They only understand power, so we have to actively show we have power, hold it against them, make them suffer, that's literally the only thing they will ever fucking understand. They will force us to play their stupid fucking power games just to have a normal fucking society without them, because they will never, ever stop vying for power.
It's like the old saying "a conservative would gladly eat shit if they knew a liberal had to smell their breath." it's about using power against someone else, even if the only power you have is to upset them. They don't care as long as it makes them feel like they have power over someone else.
They view literally everything through the lens of power, is it really such a shocker so many of them are fucking rapists since rape is about power?
Labour are doing so badly they're helping the fascists. This is Weimar Republic weakness before the storm. Watch out for Farage now he has Elon Musk's billions and the US President behind him (not to mention Russia). Keir Starmer is not the person you want defending the country against that threat.
My current and former workplace both took huge hits and ended up cutting staff because it suddenly became super expensive to import raw materials, and more difficult and expensive to export finished goods. But it's ok because some retired boomers get to shout 'taking our country back' then blame foreigners for anything negative that happens
The loss of openness, the limiting of education and work opportunities, the rise of bad nationalism, the fracturing of European unity and community, the isolation of being stuck between the EU and the US, the inability to pop over to France for lunch or Germany for a football game, the loss of stature in an evolving world, the backwards steps to being more insular… I don’t know. All these things and more “may” come to pass.
Knowing very little about UK politics and even less five years ago I seem to remember casually analyzing leaving the EU as a dumb idea but what do I know.
Everyone with an IQ over room temperature knew leaving the EU was a losing move for everyone but the oligarchs looking to snap up businesses for cheap. They're intentionally driving the UK economy into the ground so they can snap everything up in a fire sale knowing that their wealth is safely protected in foreign investments. They're trying the same playbook over in the US now. Trump will tank the US economy (not to mention gut the anti-monopoly regulations) and then the megacorps will start gobbling.
Has Brexit cost them anything politically? Or is it still the exact same bullshit as before Brexit happened? Sure seems like nothing has changed.
The AfD in Germany, currently propped up by Musk in the form of Alice Weidel, whose modus operandi is demagoguery wants the Brexit analogue Dexit. She was granted a 15 minute interview by bloomberg a few days ago. Basically every statement was a blantant lie. She proposed free trade regulatories for Germany without being in the EU. Every statement of hers was a lie. And she was frenetically endorsed by EU/German politics oblivious US MAGA heads and Nazis in the comments. All of her proposals would bring Germany and with it possibly huge parts of Europe to its knees and open the door widely for russian interference. I wrote a 6000 character fact-check under the video and garnered 3300 likes for it in one day. Yesterday it was deleted. It was a good run but I think Europe is damned. I partially blame covid brain rot for it.
We really do live in a post-truth era. Zizek was right when Snowden dropped his docs. He said based on the response to the Iraq War torture leaks, he didn't expect anything to change. That big disclosures mean basically nothing now. God damn it he was so fucking right.
More than 52% of British people in 2016 and still more than many now, I bet. I always supported Remain but before I voted I wanted to do my due diligence and re-evaluate. It took googling "brexit pros and cons" and all of 5 minutes reading a BBC infographic to confirm that basically everything the leave campaign said was completely and utterly wrong.
The fact that most people still voted for it despite the obvious lies was way more disappointing to me than the racism. Back then I thought better of people.
I know a couple of people who said they didn't know what to vote for so voted for the default, which they thought was to leave.
Some other old person said he doesn't like immigrants (or specifically people of a certain skin colour) and wants back gold top milk (which apparently the EU took away...).
Somebody else saying they don't want Brussels telling us what to do and we need our fishing rights back. Also immigration.
My future, my son's future, all now shaped in a more restrictive way because of people's views like this.
Ironically for the old racist man we now have less white Europeans immigrants as before and more from Africa and India regions, at least in the area I live. I love it how it's backfired on him.