Could Donald Trump lose Florida? Poll sparks warning about Kamala Harris
Could Donald Trump lose Florida? Poll sparks warning about Kamala Harris
In 2020, Trump beat Biden in Florida by roughly 3 points, despite losing the election to Biden.
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She has had good turnout in events but don't let that fucking fool you. Florida is mostly republican but not like 90% - you can find plenty of die hard liberals in the state.
I'm not saying it's impossible but don't hold your fucking breath.
We voted for Obama, twice. Florida is more purple than most believe.
I feel like this has changed a lot in the last 12 years. Florida was a battleground state but many conservatives flocked there after the state and Scott and DeSantis leaned into the whole “freedom” thing.
Boomer retirements started hitting hard in 2011. Florida is approaching 1/3 of the state being older than 60. They're the most rapidly aging state in the country right now. Nearly every other state is losing old people to Florida on a daily basis.
When Obama was running, Florida was less than 1/4 of the state being 60 or older. Somewhere just under 4M residents of around 19M total. Now Florida has 22M people and of that 7M are 60 or older. The biggest growth changes are in the 0-19 age group that can't/won't vote. And the 60+ age group which is guaranteed to vote and skews conservative.
Yep. Live in Florida, family in Illinois. Conservative family members in Illinois love to point out I at least have more freedom than they do in Illinois.
Except they have recreational weed.
Yes, but these are also lifetime NRA members and you can't use illegal drugs and get your FOID card. Have a few people who still have dealers and won't go to dispensaries because of this.
You are repeating what people said in 2008.
The main beef with Florida is that the Democrats are just not well organized. As a campaign you can take a risk to invest in a purplish state if there’s a good team on the ground to help you (looking at Georgia for instance). If the organisation is not there, it’s just too risky.
Well, it's kind of hard to believe because of the absolutely insane people you keep voting into office somehow.
As a diehard leftie who is unfortunately stuck in Florida for this election season, I will absolutely be voting for Kamala.
Kamala Kamala, Kamala, Kamala Kamala!
You can do more. You can get organized and help people get organized. As someone in a state that is perma-blue, I envy you and how much political impact you could make.
no, actually, i can't, but thanks for trying to guilt trip me while acting like you know my life from a random internet comment.
since i'm not privileged enough to work or live in a "forever blue" state, i spend my days overworked and underpaid in a shitty job, and all my free time is eaten up taking shitty public transit for hours to and from that shitty job to a hovel of a room i can barely afford, where i have to then spend all my free time either looking for a better job or searching for affordable food options, which i can barely afford-- and even then i'm on the verge of both starvation and homelessness. after that, i'm lucky to get a few hours of sleep before i have to wake up and do it all over again.
so why don't YOU do more than telling others less fortunate than you what to do, and mind your own damn business, ok?
how much do you envy me now?
Hey mate just gonna say I hope ya have some good luck and can get out of that shithole of a state. Florida is the worst type of state to be in since its economy is basically dead outside of tourism, hell even Idaho is doing better. So I hope ya have a good break and can make a good life for yourself.
If you volunteer to phone bank for them I'm sure the campaign would be happy to have you call voters in Florida and other swing states.
Worst case, Harris doing well forces Trump to spend more money there. I'm pretty sure his ego would take a big hit losing Florida, so I hope that effects it too and he overspends.
Mmmmm, lets see if this hurricane season changes that.
I can tell you Ian opened some eyes in my area. They're very interested in the gulf water temp charts I've sent them now.
Yeah, I feel like people had this idea of rising sea levels looking like a bathtub filling.
No. This is the ocean. It's going to look like Ian and Katrina, and sometimes it won't give back.
50% of those republic voters found out that SCOTUS intends for them to make babies, fetch sandwiches, and shut up about their opinions.
The percentage of women who are cool with that is vanishingly small.
I wouldn’t be so sure.
I think you'll depressingly find the number of women who are okay with it is surprisingly large - the GOP is basically embracing tradwife bullshit at this point and it seems to still get the majority of conservative women.
I agree. There are also more and more younger voters. Not saying they are all going to vote blue, but far more of them are.
The trad wife movement is divisive though. While I agree abortion isn't a ticket winner on it's own. It's definitely moved a needle.
But what's the voter turnout like? My brother lives in Florida and he proudly doesn't vote.
Allegedly 77% in 2020 according to the FL government. I assume that's among registered voters though, not all eligible.
https://dos.fl.gov/elections/data-statistics/elections-data/voter-turnout/
Yeah, I hope she doesn't pull a Hillary and dump a bunch money into Florida and Texas instead of campaigning in actual swing states.