Lemmy seems less active than during the Reddit protests?
Not sure if this is the right place to post, but when the reddit protests were happening, I used Lemmy for a bit then decided to detox from "social media" for a while till now. Am I misinterpreting the activity here?
Users about halved in the ~3 months after the initial exile. It's increased since then, but not yet to the point that it was at during the initial exodus.
This is so depressing. I thought this was gonna be a cool little bubble. The bubble just pops... :(
I look at the reddit front page and everyone one in the comments are saying the posts on reddit are bot activity, which, at this point, I don't doubt. Internet is dead. :(
It was an utter disaster in those first few months. I stuck it out only out of sheer stubbornness in not going back to Reddit. Lemmy.world was always down, federation was borked, it was just not ready for the big-time. Just what happens when your userbase balloons 30x inside of a month. Now we're in a much better position to absorb new waves. The big thing is trying to get niche communities started on here - a bit of a arduous task. The mainstream communities are all pretty active at this point! And anything about Linux.
It's still a cool bubble. The initial hype was bound to diminish, but it is still a cool little place. Has it's own issues, but still. Here since the exodus, never looked back
Not... entirely. In March we had 54k Monthly Active Users, while now we have only 45k, that's a not-entirely-insignificant drop of 17% of users. Also, personally I've created some alts during that time-frame, so if others did similarly... the real drop could have been much larger.
Ofc, it could have been that people simply dropped their older alts and are now happy with fewer alts but the same number of people - but that gets to that very old argument that Galileo had with others about whether the moon was perfectly smooth (due to spiritual implications) or not: he observed that it was not, though others raised their objections and tried to counter with the notion that perhaps there were mountains on the moon... but that if so, surely the valley regions were covered with glass, so that the moon retains the property (again, for reasons of spiritual purity) of being a perfectly spherical object?
Ofc you can guess what Galileo said to that: surely there must indeed be glass on top of the valley regions, so that they fill in the height of the mountains with an equal height of the glass valleys, which we cannot see b/c they are made of glass, <eyeroll>, yes indeed "surely" that "must" be the case - but also, in addition to that, there is EVEN MORE glass on top of the mountains, height proportional to how tall they are, and while we cannot see that material either, that is what is causing the differences in shadows, which he could measure with his spyglass that he pointed upwards into the heavens.)
Moral of that fun story: we can conjecture such matters all day long, and how fun that would be for both of us! But at the end of the day, all we have are the facts and numbers in front of us, however imperfect they may be:-).
That said, these numbers may particularly be bad, e.g. if anyone left Lemmy and went to Mbin and/or PieFed, then I think they would not be counted in those charts? I am not 100% certain about that, or much of anything really, but pretty darn close b/c of how the "software" field seems to work on that site, with the other buttons like List and on a particular chosen instance to look at more details, the Main Data tabulation (and see e.g. https://mbin.fediverse.observer/piefed.social, click to expand the Main Data, and that JSON output has "softwarename": "piefed", but nothing at all with the text string "Lemmy" there).
The total number of Lemmy instances has also dropped 24%.
Although the total number of both posts and comments has gone up rather than down - so we see a lot more activity, from a significantly smaller number of people. I wonder how sustainable that is though, e.g. next year won't be an election year in as many countries as this one was. Overall I am worried about the health of the Lemmyverse, though less worried than ever before about the health of the overall Fediverse b/c of the newer software alternatives that have and are still coming:-).
And given that March was a peak, I'm tempted to interpret it as newbies not sticking around. I think that it'll plateau around 40k users, then provided that the conditions remain the same it won't increase or decrease.
That's why I say that it's stable - the core userbase will likely stick around.
That said, these numbers may particularly be bad, e.g. if anyone left Lemmy and went to Mbin and/or PieFed, then I think they would not be counted in those charts?
They wouldn't be counted but I don't think that this introduces a lot of inaccuracy. Mbin has 1.7k MAUs, and PieFed has 104.
The number of instances dropping is far more concerning IMO. It means that smaller instances have a hard time becoming sustainable.
There's a difference in how active users are counted now, too, so that skews the numbers. An active user used to be a user who posted or commented. Now voting makes a user active.
All, yes. And I have blocked most of the communities that call themselves "News" or similar, but almost only post US politics as news. Yet it still trickles down into other communities.
A lot of that initial rush of users went back to reddit for one reason or another and I think lemmy is reaching equilibrium between where it was before the protests and the mass in rush during
Try using the "scaled" version while browsing all, it lets all the small stuff pop up too. Just be ready to religiously block communities without hesitation to get things curated how you want
Combining: bans, blocks, defederation, differing lemmy versions and federation bugs / glitches, you end up with a different view (sometimes for better or for worse) than someone on another instance
I think activity spread out quite a bit. During the exodus everyone was posting into the same two and a half meme communities causing massive churn on the front page and giant threads, but now everyone has created and/or settled into their comfortable little corners so any particular portion of lemmy looks less active, while overall it's larger.
I'm not sure about overall activity, but I do know my feed is active enough that i can't read ALL of it unless I spend like an hour or more per day on here, and that's plenty active for me.
I've found my participation slowly declining here on the Fediverse, and ramping back up again on Reddit. I think I'm never going to stop coming here entirely, there's plenty of neat links that come along to explore, but the main thing that's causing decline is that IMO the communities here are a lot "bubblier." It's probably inherent in the simple fact that they're small, and that they're populated by a very self-selected fragment of social media, but the result is that if I "say the wrong thing" I get pummeled with downvotes and snide comments a lot easier here. Makes it less interesting to comment at all. Some of Reddit's communities are pretty insular too but at least there are enough of them that I can find ones to my taste.
As a major example that comes to mind, all of the technology communities I've found here seem to be quite strongly anti-AI. I have an interest in AI, but when I click through to the comments on stories about AI topics it's often nothing but rants about how awful it is. And if I say anything - even to correct a factual error - I get piled on. So lately I just sigh and move on.
Back then, [email protected] was one of the most active communities, LOL. There might be somewhat fewer people here right now, but at least the content has diversified somewhat since we settled in.
(Not that I dislike self-hosting, mind you. In fact I wouldn't mind if that community were a little more active...)
People didn't find what they wanted and/or went back to what was stable and familiar. I still am avoiding using reddit for anything except the subs related to people living in Japan (the community didn't move over; a couple did but there were basically no posts very quickly) and when it shows up in some search result and nothing else has worked.