Probably more like “I’m backing your bitch trump. When (pls god no) he wins, I’ll give you access to space tech and you can crush Ukraine. Please Senpai notice me” <lapping noises> <Elon smells putins dirty asshole>
This would be a nuclear option and, in reality, probably would do more harm than good to SpaceX,
It would probably set back their more ambitious targets by decades. But even Starship is now far enough along to no longer really need Musk's stewardship, and the US government would be happy enough just with control of the Falcon programme. They don't care much / at all about Making Life Multi-Planetary.
If so, why would SpaceX have so rapidly & aggressively moved to restore Ukraine's communications capabilities in the early days and weeks of the current war, and maintained them ever since?