Largest party by electoral district in the German federal election
Largest party by electoral district in the German federal election
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So, will the German Nazis use the same playbook as the American ones and claim that the election was rigged?
Unlikely, they're happy with their result.
It's however possible that the conservatives will run the Austrian playbook. Talks with the social democrats fail, "we have a responsibility to Germany to form a government", then make a coalition with the AfD (Nazis).
Back to your original question: the BSW will likely contest the elections, as they have missed the 5% threshold by only ~14k votes and there are evident irregularities. For example, many Germans living abroad, for example those living in the US, had almost no chance to cast their vote.
Talks with the social democrats fail, "we have a responsibility to Germany to form a government", then make a coalition with the AfD (Nazis).
That feels familiar somehow.
Very unlikely. A coalition with the AfD is rejected by 85% of CDU voters. Merz has many times unequivocally rejected a coalition with the AfD.
there are evident irregularities
The only irregularity is voters abroad having received their mail in ballots too late. That was caused by the short timeframe to prepare the early elections. If that qualifies as a problem will be decided by the courts.
then make a coalition with the AfD (Nazis).
It only adds up to 48%. The other parties would band together to make 52%.
Nope, you have to compare seats won, not percentages. Conservatives + Nazis would be 360 seats of 630 total, creating a majority.
Election denial is less scary if they only have 20% support. If they tried it I imagine the vote to ban them would come back and maybe get enough support this time.