Wow!! I think most of us assumed cancellation was politically impossible, so it's going to be very interesting to watch the fallout of this report. What will be the battlelines in Congress?
It's far from settled but...it seems at least 50-50 that NASA's Space Launch System rocket will be canceled. Not Block 1B. Not Block 2. All of it.
We shouldn't overreact, as Berger points out none of the relevant appointments have been made. It's still a stunning report with huge implications. Here's the full quote:
> To be clear we are \far\ from anything being settled, but based on what I'm hearing it seems at least 50-50 that NASA's Space Launch System rocket will be canceled. Not Block 1B. Not Block 2. All of it. There are other ways to get Orion to the Moon.
Did not enjoy the wait for AOS!
May Clipper have a boring journey.
Stunning. They have no right to make it look so easy.
I was ready to wait until Christmas for this and now I'm not emotionally prepared!
If there's a catch attempt I'm expecting a mild success where something goes wrong (those arms sway sooo much), but I'm optimistic about Ship reentry. Going to be great.
Thanks for mentioning this! Loving the world so far.
Curious to see what happens in the Gulf given Zack Golden's speculation from a few days ago. Are they really going to retrieve a booster that's hundreds of meters below sea level? Feels hard.
Unfortunate for this to happen on a high profile flight, amid all the regulatory bickering.
I'm glad my concerns about these suits were overblown! They look like a big improvement over status quo.
Pretty confused about why SpaceX released this - it's a vague, whiney, entitled message, even if they're right!
Parts of the regulatory process are clunky, and the goals of an environmental assessment don't always align with the goals of SpaceX - that's the point. I'd be concerned if the company was happy with the process.
I don't want to write an essay right now. I know it's messy, and the process needs to improve. I just wish SpaceX had brought receipts before starting...whatever they just started.
Wasn't expecting such beautiful shots at midnight in the desert!
This is probably going to be so boring, but I won't be able to look away.
Thanks, the stories I've read have made it hard to piece together this timeline.
This makes a lot of sense! I'm going to give it another shot with these insights in mind. I think if I frame it as a future-facing tool like you describe I'll avoid a lot of my previous mistakes.
Thanks for explaining :)
This is really helpful, thanks!
I think I need more practice with knowing when to create a node. In the past, every single entry would look like this:
I went to [Alice] birthday party and met [Bob]. We talked about [clouds].
And that got very cumbersome. I like your suggestion of using back links to create a better summary document.
Got it, I see what you mean. Thanks for this!
I keep failing to make Zettelkasten and org-roam work for me. Do you use a single knowledge base for your whole life, with millions of tags and pages? Or should I be making separate directories for each project? Is the "daily journal" the best place to put everything, with well tagged entries?
You don't have to answer all of those!
This is how I feel. This is a wonderful moment where a switch to Dragon is easy and safe. Starliner is probably fine, but Dragon is clearly safer right now. Who cares about ISS scheduling changes and modified Starliner certification requirements?
I just checked prediction markets and they seem to think Starliner has a 20-30% chance. I think that's way too high.
Interesting, thanks for explaining. I agree with the aspiration but maybe not the practicality?
In a perfect world elections would be about hard policy discussions, but in 2024 policy barely matters. Campaigns don't even release real platforms any more. The first party to take the emotion out of politics would lose horribly, because so many voters respond to it.
Personally, I also like when people acknowledge that policy discussions impact real people. I think there's an important role for displayed genuine emotion in rational discussion.
I also don't think that what we're discussing is relevant to Gus Walz. We have every reason to believe that was a genuine and beautiful apolitical moment.
I don't think I understand. Are you suggesting that it's impossible to prepare a speech about something you care deeply about?
Or are you saying that people only cry the first time they tell an emotional story?
I'm sure there are people with those experiences, and maybe you're one of them. If it helps, I can attest that there are "well rehearsed" stories that I've told dozens of times, and I still cry during each telling.
NieR: Automata
For some reason this New Scientist cartoon lives in my head. Maybe because it challenges the way I think about the future? Or maybe it's just cute.
Thanks so much for doing this! I almost forgot to enter.
How do I know if a rim is compatible with my car?
I'm getting confused by all the numbers involved. Here's my current understanding:
- Bolt pattern needs to be an exact match (ex/ 5x114)
- Diameter needs to be exact match, but there's some flexibility with width (ex/ 17x7 and 17x8 are probably interchangeable)
Things I'm confused about:
- Does offset need to be an exact match? (ex/ ET45 vs ET42?)
- How careful do I need to be with tire size, if the rim is correct? For example, if my car originally had 225/50R17, can I use a 225/65R17 tire?
Is there a good website for explaining these details? I've spent time on various wheel database websites, and they only give a list of sizes without explaining why they're compatible or not.
Thanks!