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TempermentalAnomaly @lemmy.world
Posts 45
Comments 481
Take that pesky liberals!
  • I feel like we've strayed very far from the original statement.

    I’m just gonna keep hammering this in for a while. 81 million Democrats voted in 2020, but only 71 million this year. Trump won by 3.5 million. But hey, at least all you righteous little angels aren’t “complicit in genocide”, right? Think about that while you polish your halos. YOU did this.

    In our electoral college system the total national vote isn't the cause of a president getting elected. Many of the people who didn't turn out were in states that were already considered Democrat strongholds such as New Jersey. Only seven states mattered. They were close enough that the polls weren't able to tell who was in the lead. Both Republicans and Democrats spent a lot of money on spreading their message and getting out the vote. These seven states had record or near record turn out.

    In light of all of this, what is your argument?

  • Portland’s ranked-choice debut causes voter engagement to crater; 1 in 5 who cast ballots chose no one for City Council
  • Here's a link to an Argis map. You can turn on the layer for current districts and the select the election turnout for 2020.

    Here is a link to the 2020 vote count by precinct. Using the Argis map, I'd like up the District 1 precincts and then compare it to the the argis map to see which ones are in district 1. Too bad the file is a image based PDF and not a CSV.

    Any case, it's doable.
    Personally, I'm most interested in getting District 1 turnout to increase.

  • Take that pesky liberals!
  • 81 million Democrats voted in 2020, but only 71 million this year. Trump won by 3.5 million.

    This is the national popular vote.

    When states allocate their electoral votes, it's based upon the state's popular vote. So if a candidate gets the most votes in California. If only one person votes for that candidate in California, the candidate gets all the electoral votes in California. If everyone votes in Alaska, the winning candidate only gets Alaska's electoral votes.

    The national popular vote isn't meaningful in determining the president. The only determinant is the electoral college.

  • Take that pesky liberals!
  • What does gerrymandering have to do with winning a state's electoral college delegates outside of Maine and Nebraska? States award all their delegates to the winner of the states popular vote.

  • Portland’s ranked-choice debut causes voter engagement to crater; 1 in 5 who cast ballots chose no one for City Council
  • In east Portland, the city’s poorest and most racially diverse quadrant, a combination of low voter turnout and low rates of ranking even a single City Council candidate by voters who did cast ballots meant only 39% of registered voters had any say in which three candidates will represent the district, the newsroom analysis found.

    I wonder if voter turnout was below, about even, or above the average for the last 20 years. And then what percentage of registered voters had a say in those. Hopefully, the city council and ranked choice voting advocates will do some outreach.

    In the district encompassing Portland east of Interstate 205, 29% of residents who cast ballots didn’t rank any of the 16 candidates running. That figure was 18% in North and Northeast Portland (22 candidates); 17% in Southeast Portland (30 candidates); 17% in the city’s westside district (30 candidates); and an average of 20% citywide. Only 7% of voters who cast ballots in the November 2022 election sat out the highly polarized City Council runoff between Jo Ann Hardesty and Rene Gonzalez. And 13% did in the fall 2020 contest between Chloe Eudaly and Mingus Mapps.

    In a linked article:

    The portion of Portland east of Interstate 205, home to nearly a quarter of the city’s population and its least economically advantaged stretch, had just two residents elected to the council in all of city history.

    Now it's five. This isn't an excuse to not do outreach, but this shows far more directly that the people from their neighborhoods are representing them. I hope council members will do community building events.

  • Remember being 15
  • Once they have achieved this level of tempering it’s respectable for the amount of effort they put in.
    that’s not respect, thats understanding. If you respected them, you would at least seem them as equals to yourself

    I think the desire to be in society and tempered by it is respectable. It's not a binary that is separated by a hurdle. Because I am an adult, I have understanding of where they are in their journey of being socialized as an adult. I respect the effort they have made, the understanding they've developed, and the progress they've achieved. I don't confuse them with being an adult. But I nurture that desire to be an adult through connection and mentorship if that is available.

    I can’t trust them like others that have so I can’t respect them like others. there are other ways to respect though.

    I don't trust them like others. I trust them for where they are. I respect them for who they are and where they are. As you said, there are other ways to respect. That is what I've chosen. Another way.

    respect is a gift given from one individual to another. it signifies the trust one has in the other.

    I agree that respect is a gift given. Gifts aren't earned. They are not transactions. It says, "I see you." Because I have developed eyes to see others, I can give that gift. I can give them space in my self for them to stretch and grow into whomever they are. Some of who they become is chosen, but some is set. I can see this. This is respect. "I see you again." And as they grow into that person, they turn towards me and ask, "Do you see me?" and I can answer "I see you again and again."

    They can never emulate me because there is a part of me that will always be unreachable and unknown to them because they are not me. They can try to be like me and they the best success is if they are exactly like themselves in the process of being like me. An authentic self can emerge. I extend respect in hopes that they become themselves.

  • Remember being 15
  • Teenagers are in development of becoming an individual. They may have personalities, but they haven't tempered them for society yet. That tempering process is through human connections. I'd argue the best outcomes come through respect, patient connections with adults who demonstrate composure and allow them to grow that composure.

    I don't know what you're suggesting other than with holding respect.

  • How do you deal with feeling like a failure due to being poor?
  • I don't know what works for you, but I do the following.

    1. Feel your feelings. Base feelings for me are sadness, joy, anger, etc. the feeling is connected to an event, but not the same as the event.And I am not my feelings, I am just having a feeling. Feeling this feeling puts me in touch with something either vital or reframes my perspective.
    2. Reorient your goals. This can be either shifting your sense of worth to something more important to you than your work or a recommitment to attaining what was lost. This doesn't always happen on the first pass, but I'm able to lift my head up at this point and look around.
    3. Make small tasks that build towards that goal. Or just connecting with the day and the people in my life.
    4. Reconnect to your support structure. This is just as important to you as it is for them. They want to see you thrive and see the best in you re-emerge.
    5. Rinse and repeat. Stumbling is normal. Successes happen. Feel those feelings again. And again.

    I don't know if this will work for you, but this has been a process that works for me.

  • Would you go on a trip with your ex-partner and their former affair partner for your kid's sake?
  • I only saw one other comment talking about your son, so I'll chime in.

    Make sure to hear your son's voice. This is his way of trying to make a connection with you and maybe more. Hear him out and don't reflexively respond. Spend time making sure he feels heard and loved. And whatever you decide, he'll know that his connection with you is strong. I don't know what level of processing you've done with him, but I can imagine it getting a little back burnered as you work through the betrayal and grief.

  • Remember being 15
  • Respect is granted for just being human. That can be erode if they violate core social norms, but when respect is given trust is given back. They then give the effort that results in learning.

  • www.scientificamerican.com Anyone Can Learn Echolocation in Just 10 Weeks—And It Remodels Your Brain

    Human echolocation repurposes parts of the brain’s visual cortex for sound, even in sighted people

    Anyone Can Learn Echolocation in Just 10 Weeks—And It Remodels Your Brain

    Act now and you too can see as well as a bat!

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    www.opb.org Portland’s Water Bureau boss resigns, warns city officials of ‘disruptive’ leadership decisions

    The head of Portland's Water Bureau was asked to resign last month. She said it's a sign of how the city plans to approach it's governance transition in 2025.

    Portland’s Water Bureau boss resigns, warns city officials of ‘disruptive’ leadership decisions
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    apnews.com Climate activists glue themselves to a taxiway at Cologne-Bonn Airport, flights suspended

    Authorities say climate activists have glued themselves to the ground at Cologne-Bonn Airport in western Germany forcing the suspension of flights.

    Climate activists glue themselves to a taxiway at Cologne-Bonn Airport, flights suspended
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    katu.com On the upswing? Downtown Portland grows and invests, sparking optimism

    Is Portland turning the corner?That's the question many people have asked and debated over the past few years, from kitchen tables to the office to the campaig

    On the upswing? Downtown Portland grows and invests, sparking optimism
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    Almost forgot to wish Donald a Happy Birthday.

    !

    You're only 78 years old Little Squirt!

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    apnews.com Israeli nationalists march through Palestinian area of Jerusalem, some chanting 'Death to Arabs'

    Thousands of mostly ultranationalist Israelis are taking part in an annual march through a dense Palestinian neighborhood of Jerusalem’s Old City.

    Israeli nationalists march through Palestinian area of Jerusalem, some chanting 'Death to Arabs'
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    The Days of the Fuck Up Boots Will Once Again be Upon Us!

    Usually it's Friday night... Sometimes I go out Thursdays though.

    4
    www.kptv.com Massive fire contained but continues to burn at wood recycling plant in N Portland

    Big plumes of smoke filled the sky in North Portland as a two-alarm fire burned at JOPP Energy off North Lombard Street.

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    www.oregonlive.com Multnomah County DA candidate Nathan Vasquez tells voters man ‘murdered’ 4 women even though he has not been charged

    Nathan Vasquez referred in his statement in the Oregon Secretary of State Voters’ Pamphlet to the case of convicted felon Jesse Lee Calhoun, 39, though he did not identify Calhoun by name.

    Multnomah County DA candidate Nathan Vasquez tells voters man ‘murdered’ 4 women even though he has not been charged
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    www.oregonlive.com Rene Gonzalez, candidate for Portland mayor, pitches more punitive approach to homeless campers

    Gonzalez, a current city commissioner, is floating a measure that would immediately ban homeless camping citywide, should the U.S. Supreme Court and Oregon Legislature do away with current restrictions.

    Rene Gonzalez, candidate for Portland mayor, pitches more punitive approach to homeless campers
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    www.oregonlive.com Is an end in sight for Portland’s long tradition of parent fundraising for their own children’s schools?

    Portland Public Schools parents will no longer be able to raise money to pay to add educators at their own children’s schools, under a proposal that the district’s school board is poised to approve.

    Is an end in sight for Portland’s long tradition of parent fundraising for their own children’s schools?
    0

    Who are the swing voters in America? | The Economist

    www.economist.com Who are the swing voters in America?

    We interrogated a dataset of 49,000 people to find out

    Who are the swing voters in America?

    cross-posted from: https://lemmy.world/post/14210696

    > > The two percentage points of vote share that Mr Trump has gained since 2020 come from three sources. The largest group is people who supported Mr Biden last time, but are now undecided, backing minor candidates or not planning to vote, who outnumber those making the same shift from Mr Trump’s camp. These voters account for 0.9 points of Mr Trump’s two-point improvement. Undecided former Biden voters are slightly younger, more likely to be black or female and less likely to have attended college than repeat Biden voters. > > > > Mr Trump also enjoys an edge among people entering or returning to the major-party electorate. The share who say they did not vote for either him or Mr Biden in 2020 but have now settled on Mr Trump is 3.7%, slightly above the 3.3% who are choosing Mr Biden. This group adds another 0.3 of a point to Mr Trump’s tally. > > > > The final group, swing voters, is the smallest but also the most impactful. Because people who flip between the two major-party candidates both subtract a vote from one side and add one to the other, they matter twice as much as do those who switch between a candidate and not voting at all. Such voters are rare—just 3% of respondents fall into this category—but Mr Trump is winning two-thirds of them. With 2% of participants shifting from Mr Biden to Mr Trump versus just 1% doing the opposite, swing voters contribute a full percentage point to Mr Trump’s two-way vote share. > > ! > > > The most intriguing pattern in YouGov’s data, however, is probably an equally powerful factor that has nothing to do with ideology. Compared with committed partisans, swing voters are vastly more likely to have children aged under 18: 47% of those flipping from Mr Biden to Mr Trump and 40% of those switching the other way are currently raising children, compared with 22% of repeat Biden voters and 19% of consistent Trump ones. And once the effects of race and parenthood are combined, the disparities are striking.

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    Preview Post and Spoilers

    When writing a comment, you can preview it. I didn't see this feature when making a post.

    Also, spoiler markdowns weren't rendering in Boost when I tried using the menu insertion. I've seen other posts and comments with spoilers, so I'm not sure what's happening.

    2

    Who are the swing voters in America? | The Economist

    www.economist.com Who are the swing voters in America?

    We interrogated a dataset of 49,000 people to find out

    Who are the swing voters in America?

    > The two percentage points of vote share that Mr Trump has gained since 2020 come from three sources. The largest group is people who supported Mr Biden last time, but are now undecided, backing minor candidates or not planning to vote, who outnumber those making the same shift from Mr Trump’s camp. These voters account for 0.9 points of Mr Trump’s two-point improvement. Undecided former Biden voters are slightly younger, more likely to be black or female and less likely to have attended college than repeat Biden voters. > > Mr Trump also enjoys an edge among people entering or returning to the major-party electorate. The share who say they did not vote for either him or Mr Biden in 2020 but have now settled on Mr Trump is 3.7%, slightly above the 3.3% who are choosing Mr Biden. This group adds another 0.3 of a point to Mr Trump’s tally. > > The final group, swing voters, is the smallest but also the most impactful. Because people who flip between the two major-party candidates both subtract a vote from one side and add one to the other, they matter twice as much as do those who switch between a candidate and not voting at all. Such voters are rare—just 3% of respondents fall into this category—but Mr Trump is winning two-thirds of them. With 2% of participants shifting from Mr Biden to Mr Trump versus just 1% doing the opposite, swing voters contribute a full percentage point to Mr Trump’s two-way vote share.

    !

    > The most intriguing pattern in YouGov’s data, however, is probably an equally powerful factor that has nothing to do with ideology. Compared with committed partisans, swing voters are vastly more likely to have children aged under 18: 47% of those flipping from Mr Biden to Mr Trump and 40% of those switching the other way are currently raising children, compared with 22% of repeat Biden voters and 19% of consistent Trump ones. And once the effects of race and parenthood are combined, the disparities are striking.

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    montavilla.net NE Halsey Lane Reconfiguration Underway

    On April 8th, road painting crews begin work to reconfigure NE Halsey Street between 68th and 81st Avenues. Truck-mounted equipment scrubbed the existing travel lane markings from asphalt while wor…

    NE Halsey Lane Reconfiguration Underway

    This was the most exciting traffic to sit in yesterday. I knew it was coming, but surprising it was already happening. I almost hit a person going westbound coming down from the 84/82nd overpass and into the unlit, blind curve. He left his shopping cart and saved himself. But the next car behind me had to sweep into the opposite lane. Thankfully, no one was on the road.

    Now there'll be a traffic calming circle and crosswalk. Hopefully, they add some street lamps and a flashing light for when people want to cross. !Halsey Street Safety Project

    Fingers crossed that they do something for the 205/84 exchange overpass. That light at 92nd is like people are lining up for a drag race.

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    The 38 Essential Restaurants and Food Carts in Portland | Eater ... Get them angry comments ready!

    pdx.eater.com The 38 Essential Restaurants and Food Carts in Portland

    The city’s most astounding restaurants, food carts, bars, and more

    The 38 Essential Restaurants and Food Carts in Portland

    Wow... So many Eastside joints. Not complaining, but surprised nonetheless. With so many great spots to get a bite, its not surprising if they left something off the list. I was surprised to not see Apizza Scholls. Its been a while since I've been, but I always consider them to be pizza royalty. And then choosing Rose VL over Ha VL is odd to me. But cool. Who do you they left off?

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    usa.streetsblog.org Boondoggle: Oregon Highway Widening Gets 'Reconnecting Communities' Cash — Streetsblog USA

    The US Department of Transportation just awarded $450 million to the $1.9-billion Rose Quarter 1-5 project, which opponents have long called one of America’s most-notorious highway boondoggles.

    Boondoggle: Oregon Highway Widening Gets 'Reconnecting Communities' Cash — Streetsblog USA

    >The highway cap is not the reason this project is so expensive. The real expense comes from doubling the width of the existing highway — something that ODOT has gone to great pains to conceal. The existing roadway is 82 feet wide, and ODOT's plans — which were not revealed publicly, but which we obtained via a public records request — show that the agency plans to nearly double the width of the highway to 160 feet along much of its length. In some places, it will roughly triple it to 240 feet. > >Instead of disclosing the massive highway expansion, though, ODOT instead claims that it is merely adding "one auxiliary lane" in each direction to the existing four-lane freeway, and calling for wide inside and outside shoulders that can be easily be re-striped into travel lanes once the project is built (which can be done without additional environmental review under FHWA regulations, by the way). > >The agency also claims that this widening-by-another-name will result in no increase in road capacity, and that therefore there won't be any additional traffic on I-5. But ODOT's own traffic count data predicts that traffic will grow from about 120,000 today to 142,000 per day in 2045 – a 18-percent increase

    0

    The polls are suggesting a huge shift in the electorate. Are they right? | Politico

    cross-posted from: https://lemmy.world/post/14025725

    > > It’s a significant reversal from recent history: President Joe Biden is struggling with young voters but performing better than most Democrats with older ones.

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