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I am nothing without my morning coffee.

Co-Moderator for the @[email protected] magazine on kbin.social
Co-Moderator for the @[email protected] community on Lemmy.world

Other aliases:

kbin: @[email protected] Mastodon: @[email protected]

Posts 115
Comments 314
Starmer claims people with shares do not count as ‘working people’
  • For real, this doesn’t even make sense.

    Even outside my own personal investment accounts, I’ve worked at companies that offered shares as a benefit. It’s fairly common, too. Does that somehow mean everyone at that company is now not a worker?

  • Discussion Thread - October 2024
  • Well, I just voted early for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz today!

    My only regret is I live in an extremely blue state, and therefore my vote is mostly symbolic at the federal level. I voted against Trump all three times he was on the ballot, and I kept up the tradition this election cycle as well.

    However, my vote at the local level is not symbolic and actually will still have an impact on my area. Living in NYC, I voted “Yes” for propositions 1 and 2, but voted “No” for 3, 4, 5, and 6 because they all seemed like ways for Mayor Eric Adams to give his corrupt buddies jobs and ways for the Mayor’s office to stop legislation he doesn’t like.

    Also, as a side note, Mayor Adams is taking the “Trump Defense” by calling his FBI Indictments fake and hoax while also cozying up to Trump to get out of them. So, the less power to him, the better.

  • Discussion Thread - October 2024
  • Posting another discussion thread (even though it’s the end of October.)

  • Discussion Thread - October 2024

    The discussion thread is for casual and off-topic conversation that doesn’t merit its own submission.

    2
    Trump sparks outrage after calling for army to handle enemies on election day
  • It’s depressing and dumbfounding. And it all goes back to the propaganda.

    Growing up, I always wondered how 1930’s Germany could look at Hitler & the Nazi’s and think “Yeah, this looks like a good guy.” I also used to think it could never happen in the United States.

    Fast forward to today, it really feels like Trump has (1) one, given me a front row seat understanding how how it happened and (2) proven to me that, yes, it really can happen in the US.

    It’s really easy to write all of his supporters off as being blatantly evil (many are - the Nazi Flag waving at the Florida boat rally is an example) but just as many are simply blind to Trump’s evil. They’ve succumbed to decades of powerful propaganda and think that anyone - even Donald Trump - is better than a Democrat.

    It’s stupid, exhausting, and defies logic, but it’s what they believe.

  • Key takeaways from special counsel Jack Smith's major filing in Trump's 2020 election case
  • IANAL, but I believe this case, which is being oversaw by Tanya Chutkan, is for Sedition, whereas the case being oversaw by Aileen Cannon is for Treason. Jack Smith is the special counsel for both.

    Sedition is for inciting rebellion against the authority of the state, and treason is betraying one’s country.

  • www.cbsnews.com Key takeaways from special counsel Jack Smith's major filing in Trump's 2020 election case

    Judge Tanya Chutkan unsealed an expansive new filing in special counsel Jack Smith's case against former President Donald Trump in Washington, D.C.

    Key takeaways from special counsel Jack Smith's major filing in Trump's 2020 election case

    Washington — U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan has made public a key filing from special counsel Jack Smith that includes evidence compiled in his investigation into former President Donald Trump's alleged efforts to subvert the transfer of presidential power after the 2020 election.

    4
    The Perils of Isolationism
  • It’s a long article, but the general point is the United States, while flawed, is very important for maintaining the current world order and preventing despots (such as Putin) from engaging in further wars of conquest.

    Trump, being who he is, is the type of President who would enable this sort of situation to occur; he is a populist, protectionist, and isolationist who also hates immigrants.

  • The Perils of Isolationism
  • It’s a lengthy article. Here is the archived link for those interested.

  • www.foreignaffairs.com The Perils of Isolationism

    The world still needs America—and America still needs the world.

    The Perils of Isolationism

    The new Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse—populism, nativism, isolationism, and protectionism—tend to ride together, and they are challenging the political center.

    […]

    Generating support for an internationalist foreign policy requires a president to paint a vivid picture of what that world would be like without an active United States.

    2
    Geothermal energy could outperform nuclear power
  • Thoughts on this? I am a big proponent of nuclear energy, not just because it creates a lot of energy but because it represents a way we can combat the climate crisis.

    However, geothermal energy takes advantage of the energy that’s already in the Earth; the trick is accessing it, which the article suggests may soon be a viable option to broadly generate energy without generating greenhouse gases.

  • Geothermal energy could outperform nuclear power
  • Here is the archive link for those interested.

  • www.economist.com Geothermal energy could outperform nuclear power

    Tricks from the oil industry have produced a hot-rocks breakthrough

    Geothermal energy may be approaching its Mitchell moment. George Mitchell, a scrappy independent oilman, is known as the father of fracking. Nearly three decades ago, he defied Big Oil and the conventional wisdom of his industry by making practical the hitherto uneconomic technique of pumping liquids and sands into the ground to force out gas and oil from shale rock and other tight geological formations. The enormous increase in productivity that resulted, known as the shale revolution, has transformed the global hydrocarbon business.

    3
    Kamala Harris makes Donald Trump look out of his depth
  • With the last eight years as context, I don’t think Trump will lose any supporters over his performance last night against Kamala Harris.

    However, after watching that debate in June, I can say this one left me feeling much better. Trump was easily baited into saying ridiculous shit, such as immigrants are “coming to eat all the pets,” that there are ongoing free transgender reassignment surgeries on illegal aliens in prisons, admitted he negotiated with terrorists by bypassing the Afghan government to directly negotiate with the Taliban, wasted time defending his rallies after Harris is pointed out people were leaving them early because they were “bored,” and defended the consequences of Roe versus Wade being overturned by saying “This is what everybody wanted.”

    In my opinion, Kamala Harris set the tone of this debate at the very start when she crossed the stage to force Donald Trump to shake her hand.

  • www.economist.com Kamala Harris makes Donald Trump look out of his depth

    The presidential debate was a success for the vice-president

    “Instant polls suggested viewers judged Ms Harris the victor. Her performance delighted Democrats, and she supplied far more of the punchy moments that tend to get highlighted in subsequent newscasts and shared online.”

    6
    Voters beginning to think Conservatives are ‘weird’, research suggests
  • It said that in seats won by the Lib Dems “voters would explain that they were voting Lib Dem in these traditionally Tory strongholds because Ed Davey’s party just seemed more ‘normal’”.

    Yes.

  • www.theguardian.com Voters beginning to think Conservatives are ‘weird’, research suggests

    Tories found to have problems with relatability, and few voters can identify party leadership candidates

    Voters beginning to think Conservatives are ‘weird’, research suggests

    >The research by More in Common said the party struggled with relatability, particularly in Liberal Democrat areas, by focusing on topics “which excite the base, or the highly politically engaged” but were distant from ordinary people’s lives.

    5

    Discussion Thread - September 2024

    The discussion thread is for casual and off-topic conversation that doesn’t merit its own submission.

    0
    Goldman Sachs predicts stronger GDP and job growth if Democrats sweep White House and Congress
  • Democrats are good the economy. Republican are bad for the economy.

    It’s amazing that republicans have managed to convince so many people otherwise.

  • fortune.com Goldman Sachs predicts stronger GDP and job growth if Democrats sweep White House and Congress

    Trump’s likely tariff hikes on China, the EU and Mexico would lead to an inflationary bump, with a peak impact of 30 to 40 basis points on the Federal Reserve’s preferred price gauge, the bank’s economists wrote.

    Goldman Sachs predicts stronger GDP and job growth if Democrats sweep White House and Congress
    3
    www.nbcnews.com Liz Cheney endorses Harris for president

    It's the latest high-profile Republican endorsement for Vice President Kamala Harris' presidential bid.

    Liz Cheney endorses Harris for president

    “Because of the danger that Donald Trump poses, not only am I not voting for Donald Trump, but I will be voting for Kamala Harris,” Cheney said in a video of remarks posted to X. The university separately provided a clip of Cheney’s remarks to NBC News.

    0
    www.bbc.com Sudan war: Famine rages as peace talks fall short yet again

    Aid begins to trickle in but it is far too little, too late, says analyst Alex de Waal.

    Sudan war: Famine rages as peace talks fall short yet again

    Famine is ravaging Sudan.

    The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) - which claims to be the government of Sudan - took a small step towards alleviating that famine earlier this week by allowing 15 UN aid lorries to cross the border from Chad to bring food to the starving.

    0
    apnews.com Brazil top court threatens to suspend X operations in latest twist of ongoing feud

    A Brazilian Supreme Court justice is threatening to shut down the operations of X, formerly Twitter, in that country unless its billionaire owner Elon Musk names a legal representative in Brazil within 24 hours.

    Brazil top court threatens to suspend X operations in latest twist of ongoing feud

    RIO DE JANEIRO (AP) — A Brazilian Supreme Court justice on Wednesday threatened to shut down the local operations of X, formerly Twitter, unless its billionaire owner Elon Musk names a legal representative in Brazil within 24 hours.

    0
    michiganadvance.com Supermajority of U.S. women ages 18-49 support legal abortion • Michigan Advance

    While abortion remains one of the most contentious issues separating the Republican and Democratic presidential candidates, a new survey finds that regardless of political affiliation, nearly 15% of women of reproductive age have had an abortion at some point in their life, while three-quarters of t...

    Supermajority of U.S. women ages 18-49 support legal abortion • Michigan Advance

    While abortion remains one of the most contentious issues separating the Republican and Democratic presidential candidates, a new survey finds that regardless of political affiliation, nearly 15% of women of reproductive age have had an abortion at some point in their life, while three-quarters of those same women believe abortion should be legal in most or all cases.

    2
    Comparison of the 3 main polling conglomerates current election predictions (From left to right in more ways than one: Five Thirty Eight, The Hill Decision Desk HQ, and Real Clear Politics)
  • $10 a month. I plan to cancel after the election.

    Personally, Morris’ model at 538 had such a questionable take on Biden vs Trump it shook my faith in it. I still think it’s good as a polling aggregator, and its tools (such as the interactive map) are pretty solid, but I decided that $10 per month was acceptable to get access to a model I think has a more realistic take on the election.

    538’s new model is untested, and for all I know it could be accurate. However, it still has some takes I find extremely unlikely.

    Nate Silver’s model (in my opinion) paints a more realistic picture of what to expect; despite Harris’s qualifications and Democrats extremely high enthusiasm, it remains an uphill battle because of the electoral college.

  • Comparison of the 3 main polling conglomerates current election predictions (From left to right in more ways than one: Five Thirty Eight, The Hill Decision Desk HQ, and Real Clear Politics)
  • This is what Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin has right now.

    As always with polling predictions, it's a big if. So, if the elections were to happen right now and Nate Silver's model is completely accurate (it's obviously not; no model is) then the results would be 303 Kamala Harris to 235 Donald Trump.

    Here is the map.

    Here is the win probability per 1000 simulations.

    Here is the latest conglomerate polling data

    Here is the state tipping point chances.

    Here is the electoral college bias.

  • Arizona Police Association endorses Ruben Gallego in Senate race
  • Screw Kari Lake. She’s an election denier.

  • The Arizona Police Association announced Monday it is throwing its weight behind Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) in the Arizona Senate race, despite endorsing Republican Kari Lake in her gubernatorial bid last cycle.

    1
    Column | Bill Clinton and the wide gap in job gains by presidential party
  • “You’re going to have a hard time believing this, but so help me, I triple-checked it,” [Bill] Clinton began. “Since the end of the Cold War in 1989, America has created about 51 million new jobs. I swear I checked this three times. Even I couldn’t believe it. What’s the score? Democrats 50, Republicans one.”

    Perhaps the greatest con the republican party ever pulled off was the notion that they are better for the economy than democrats.

  • Column | Bill Clinton and the wide gap in job gains by presidential party
  • Here is the archived version for those who want to read the article.

  • Column | Bill Clinton and the wide gap in job gains by presidential party

    Speaking at the Democratic convention, Bill Clinton suggested that the partisan “score” on job creation since the Cold War was 50 million to 1 million. It is.

    3
    www.economist.com Kamala Harris completes her reinvention

    As the Democrats’ convention ends, the general election begins in earnest

    Kamala Harris’s acceptance speech to the Democratic National Convention on August 22nd marked the culmination of one of the most rapid and comprehensive political reinventions in modern American history.

    2
    www.nbcnews.com Fed Chair Powell says 'time has come' for interest rate cut

    The central bank is primed to lower its key rate in September as inflation cools and the job market slows.

    Fed Chair Powell says 'time has come' for interest rate cut

    Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell said Friday he expects the central bank will cut its key interest rate in the near future in response to slower economic growth and cooling inflation.

    1
    abcnews.go.com RFK Jr. plans to drop out of presidential race by end of week: Sources

    Robert Kennedy Jr. is planning to drop out of the presidential race by the end of this week, sources familiar with the decision tell ABC News.

    RFK Jr. plans to drop out of presidential race by end of week: Sources

    Sources say Kennedy is leaning toward endorsing former President Trump.

    13
    www.economist.com China’s rulers are surprised by Kamala Harris and Tim Walz

    One has never been to China, the other has visited 30 times

    5

    House Republicans target Tim Walz in new probe

    The Republican-led House Oversight Committee is opening an investigation into Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, Democrats' candidate for vice president.

    5
    www.washingtonpost.com Robert F. Kennedy Jr. tried to meet with Kamala Harris to discuss Cabinet job

    Harris has rebuffed the outreach, while Kennedy also has had conversations with Republican nominee Donald Trump about a role in his administration.

    1