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A Polling Risk for Trump

www.nytimes.com A Polling Risk for Trump

His advantage may not be as stable as it looks.

A Polling Risk for Trump

The polls have shown Donald Trump with an edge for eight straight months, but there’s a sign his advantage might not be quite as stable as it looks: His lead is built on gains among voters who aren’t paying close attention to politics, who don’t follow traditional news and who don’t regularly vote.

Disengaged voters on the periphery of the electorate are driving the polling results — and the story line — about the election.

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