It was not a prediction of victory... it was a 71% chance of winning the electoral college. Said another way, they gave her a 29% chance of losing.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

ahhhh yes, that makes perfect sense... thank you for pointing that out! Especially since I'm not good enough with vi to know how to bulk delete the first character in specific lines, I had to manually arrow and delete.

I successfully migrated postgres 15 to 16. I followed the general idea of the guide you posted, but I found it a little easier to do a slightly different process. Here's what I did:

1. docker-compose down for the lemmy instance

2. edit the docker-compose.yml file and comment out all of the services except postgres. In addition, add a new volume to the postgres service that looks something like this: - ./volumes/miscfiles:/miscfiles

2. edit the docker-compose.yml file and add a new volume to the postgres service that looks something like this: - ./volumes/miscfiles:/miscfiles
3. docker-compose up -d postgres (this starts just the postgres service from the docker compose file)
4. docker exec -it [container name] pg_dumpall -U [username] -f /miscfiles/pgdumpall20240628 (I think this will work, but it's not exactly what I did... rather, I ran docker exec -it [container name] bash, and then ran pgdumpall -U [username] -f /miscfiles/pgdumpall20240628. The end result is a dumpall file saved in the ./volumes/miscfiles directory on the host machine)
5. docker-compose down
6. mv ./volumes/postgres ./volumes/postgresBAK20240628 (move your existing postgres data to a new directory for backup purposes)
7. mkdir ./volumes/postgres (re-create an empty postgres data folder. make sure the owner and permissions match the postgresBAK20240628 directory)
8. edit the docker-compose.yml and update the postgres image tag to the new version
9. docker-compose up -d postgres (you'll now have a brand new postgres container running with the new version)
10. docker-exec -it [container name] psql -U [username] -f /miscfiles/pgdumpall20240628 (again, I think this will work, but I bashed in and ran the command from within the container. This also allows you to watch the file execute all of the commands... I don't know if it will do that if you run it from the host.)
11. docker-compose down

12. edit the docker-compose.yml and un-comment all of the other services that you commented out in step 2

13. docker-compose up -d

Hopefully that helps anyone that might need it!

edited to reflect the comment below

I agree... I was simply clarifying that Nate Silver did NOT predict that Hillary would win (nor is he predicting that Trump will win this election), which is a common misunderstanding about probability. For these types of models to be meaningful to the public, there needs to be literacy on what is meant by the percentages given. Really, I'm just reinforcing rodneylives' point from another angle!

I don't remember him predicting that she would win. His model (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/) gave her a 71% chance of winning. 71% is a long way from 100%, and the result of that election definitely fit within the model.

That said, you are absolutely correct... we need to keep shining a light on the realities of each of these candidates, because in the light of day Biden is a much better choice than Trump.

Thank you, that's super helpful!

Stop j'terrorizing me!

Depending on what exactly you're looking for, Photostructure might be a good option. It's got a great UI for viewing photos, and it's meant to play well with other Metadata software.

I don't think I'd call them assholes... more just shortsighted about the realities of selling an album, specifically in how you refer to the album both in speech and in writing.

I gotta admit, I don't usually follow the draft since I don't know anything about college football. That said, it sounds like we hit a lot of our needs, including OL and DBs. Sounds like the receiver we took in Round 1 should fit in pretty well with what Shanahan wants in a receiver, so I'm excited to see how that goes. I have no complaints!

There's lots of youtube content on this subject... here's a decent jumping off point, if you're interested: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Nw6qyyrTeI

I have server2 (which replaced server1). I also have 'nvr1'.

Agreed... seems like he wasn't happy, and there's no point in keeping him around if he's unhappy.

My favorite is plain old wordle.

This game is not fun. It's not at all clear how the words relate, to the point where I got a top 10 word in the first 10 guesses, and it still took over 100 guesses to find the keyword.

I found it to be an unrewarding waste of time.

Can you clarify exactly what you mean by a "dumb car"? Do you just mean that it doesn't have a screen in the cockpit? Or something else?

I think it depends on the airline. On my recent trip I noticed that American Airlines was charging to pick ANY seat. You could avoid the charge by letting it auto-assign the seat. Your idea to check in physically and request a certain seat MIGHT work, but you have to consider the timing. Most other passengers will have checked in online earlier and already have a seat assigned... If you wait until you arrive at the airport the seat selection might be limited. I like to check in online as early as possible so I can decide if I want to pay for a specific seat.

Good luck!

I'm not sure what caused your problem, but I can tell you that I am using the Venstar integration with https, and it works fine for me. With that in mind, have you tried removing the thermostat from home assistant entirely, and then adding it back fresh?

I've been a best man twice and both times I quoted from "The Prophet" by Kahlil Gibran, specifically the "On Love" section. "On Marriage" and "On Children" also have appropriate words for a wedding.

telegraf is so easy to use and extend

Definitely... you can write custom scripts that Telegraf will run and write that data to Influx. For instance, I have one that writes the Gateway status information from pfSense so I can track and graph any internet downtime.