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cyd @lemmy.world
Posts 53
Comments 601

Orban tells EU leaders Trump would act as "Russia-Ukraine peace broker"

www.straitstimes.com Orban tells EU leaders: Re-elected Trump would act as Russia-Ukraine peace broker

U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is ready to act \"immediately\" as a peace broker in the Russia-Ukraine war if he is elected in November, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has said in a letter to EU leaders. Read more at straitstimes.com.

Orban tells EU leaders: Re-elected Trump would act as Russia-Ukraine peace broker

He claims Trump would act immediately upon winning the election, before taking office. Which sounds legally dubious, but not that that's ever stopped Trump....

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Trump Assassination Attempt Megathread:
  • Trump lost by around 50,000 votes in swing states, in the middle of a bungled pandemic response. In 2020, Biden was polling significantly higher than Trump; today he is polling significantly lower.

    All this before that picture of Trump fist-pumping after being shot, which is going to be widely juxtaposed against Biden's inability to walk down 2-3 steps.

    I don't know where this idea that Trump has "no chance" comes from.

  • Trump Assassination Attempt Megathread:
  • Whelp... Biden was insistent on running, now the Monkey's Paw has answered. All the other plausible Dems who could have stepped in to replace Biden will be running for the hills, and being the Democratic nominee is gonna be the worst job in politics for the next four months. And at the end of the campaign he gets to be remembered by history as the loser in the worst landslide election since Reagan-Carter.

    Also:

    • Sonia Sotomayor's decision not to retire during Biden's term is looking like yet another D own goal. Very real prospects for a 7-2 Supreme Court.

    • We're going to be seeing an orgy of foreign governments jockeying to cultivate relations with Trump. Official US foreign policy is going to be dead in the water, and NATO and G7 will be leaderless, until next year.

    • Trump is going to have an iron grip on the Republican party now, to an even greater extent than before. On various issues where other Republicans held positions contrary to Trump's, they're going to be brushed aside.

    • For the above two reasons, Ukraine is pretty well fucked.

  • Gunshots reportedly fired at Donald Trump rally - as former president rushed off stage
  • Polls have significant predictive power, especially when you poll reportedly and/or aggregate them. Which is why all political campaigns, R or D, spend literally millions running their own polling. Moreover, it's now July, the first convention is literally coming up within days, so the excuse of being "far out from the election" no longer holds.

  • Bernie Sanders urges Dems to 'stop the bickering' and back Biden
  • Bernie isn't a Democrat most of the time (not sure if he is one this year...), represents a state that will remain safely deep blue even in the event of a Trump landslide, and is far removed from the constituencies where voter support for Biden is cratering. So it's not surprising for him to have this opinion.

    Not to mention his vested interest in the idea that politicians should remain in power long into old age.

  • After Biden's debate performance, new national NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds the presidential race is unchanged
  • Suppose the "best case" scenario for Biden materializes. He hangs on, remains the nominee, and pulls an upset against Trump in November.

    Even in this scenario, I'd argue that his legacy is irrevocably tarnished. His decision in 2022/2023 to run would still be a terrible decision, like a poker player betting the whole pot on a horrible hand and winning by dumb luck. His staff would still be complicit in lying to the world. It would be the shabbiest victory imaginable... and all that before the question of how he lasts another four years in office.

  • The Teamsters president is courting Trump—despite his anti-labor record
  • This makes sense. Frankly the Teamsters union leadership would be negligent in not trying to court Trump. There's a political realignment going on right now as more working class people are shifting to the Republicans, and urban upper-middle class to the Democrats. If union leadership refuses to budge, they may find their membership drifting away.

  • Elizabeth Warren stands by Biden in first public comments since debate
  • Clyburn's comments were intended to lay out a marker. He was signaling that if Biden steps down and the nomination doesn't go to Harris, he'll burn the outfit to the ground.

    I don't think the election against Trump is the primary factor for him; he's simply maneuvering to maximize the tactical influence of the CBC, no matter the outcome. If Biden remains, he will be even more indebted to the CBC than he already was.

  • Elizabeth Warren stands by Biden in first public comments since debate
  • The Biden campaign's made a big deal out of how no CBC member has openly called for him to step down so far, and they're actively lobbying them to that end. That's also why he visited a black church over the weekend in one of his rare bits of campaigning. The calculation is that if all black lawmakers stay the course, the effort to replace Biden can be tarred as racist.

  • Elizabeth Warren stands by Biden in first public comments since debate
  • The Biden stay/go camps don't divide neatly by left/right. Progressives and neoliberals both want Joe gone; the ones sticking with him, or at least the ones he's appealing to for support, are the unions and the black caucus, which you can think of as the political machine wing of the Democratic party.

  • Nate Silver's 2024 election model is out. Currently assigning Trump a 65% chance.

    www.natesilver.net The presidential election isn't a toss-up

    As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.

    The presidential election isn't a toss-up
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    Nate Silver's model for the 2024 election is out, currently predicts a 65% chance of a Trump victory.

    www.natesilver.net The presidential election isn't a toss-up

    As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.

    The presidential election isn't a toss-up
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    South Korean and Japanese universities under pressure to lift tuition fees

    eastasiaforum.org South Korean and Japanese universities under pressure to lift tuition fees | East Asia Forum

    Financial and competitive challenges to universities in Japan and South Korea have put tuition fee hikes on the horizon.

    South Korean and Japanese universities under pressure to lift tuition fees | East Asia Forum

    In the US, skyrocketing tuition fees are a major political issue, with pressure for student loan forgiveness, etc.

    So it's interesting to see two East Asian countries having the opposite problem: tuition fees are too LOW, straining university finances and hindering the objective of delivering a good education.

    0
    www.economist.com America’s assassination attempt on Huawei is backfiring

    The company is growing stronger—and less vulnerable

    America’s assassination attempt on Huawei is backfiring

    Archive link: https://archive.is/vGKin

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    Spider-Inspired Microphone Detects Tiny Gusts of Sound

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    Janet Yellen urges EU to raise tariffs on Chinese solar panels and wind turbines

    www.theguardian.com Janet Yellen urges EU to join US in curbs on cheap Chinese exports

    Comments come as Commission president hints EU could impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles

    Janet Yellen urges EU to join US in curbs on cheap Chinese exports

    Complains about overproduction of green technology, because it's important we don't have too much green technology....

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    France imposes state of emergency in New Caledonia as unrest continues

    Always weird to me how France is so insistent on clinging to its colonial empire, two decades into the 21st century, despite the headaches that causes.

    4

    Biden hikes tariffs on Chinese EVs, solar cells, steel, aluminum

    apnews.com Biden hikes tariffs on Chinese EVs, solar cells, steel, aluminum — and snipes at Trump

    Biden administration is announcing plans to slap new tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, advanced batteries, solar cells, steel, aluminum and medical equipment.

    Biden hikes tariffs on Chinese EVs, solar cells, steel, aluminum — and snipes at Trump

    Climate change and inflation are both important, so we're going to make it as expensive as possible to switch away from fossil fuels.

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    www.natesilver.net Sonia Sotomayor's retirement is a political IQ test

    Are you into politics to win — or to feel good about yourself?

    Sonia Sotomayor's retirement is a political IQ test
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    Japan sorely needs separate surnames

    eastasiaforum.org Japan sorely needs separate surnames | East Asia Forum

    Japan should implement a legal framework for selective separate surnames as part of an initial stride towards gender equality.

    Japan sorely needs separate surnames | East Asia Forum
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    Almost anything regarding Singapore @lemmy.world cyd @lemmy.world

    RSAF will be conducting airdrops of humanitarian aid into Gaza

    www.channelnewsasia.com Singapore to deliver third tranche of humanitarian aid for Gaza

    An RSAF C-130 transport aircraft will stay on to conduct humanitarian airdrop operations staged out of Jordan.

    Singapore to deliver third tranche of humanitarian aid for Gaza
    0

    The twilight of US trade leadership

    eastasiaforum.org The twilight of US trade leadership | East Asia Forum

    The continued US retreat from global trade leadership since 2017 is enabling the ascent of China's state-capitalist model.

    The twilight of US trade leadership | East Asia Forum
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    Almost anything regarding Singapore @lemmy.world cyd @lemmy.world

    Foreign interference law invoked for the first time against naturalised Singaporean businessman

    www.straitstimes.com Foreign interference law invoked for the first time against naturalised S’porean businessman

    He is assessed to have shown susceptibility to being influenced by foreign actors. Read more at straitstimes.com.

    Foreign interference law invoked for the first time against naturalised S’porean businessman

    Guess which country is doing the alleged interference...

    "Mr Chan, the managing director of several real estate investment firms, was invited to attend China’s annual Two Sessions parliamentary meetings in March 2023 as an “overseas Chinese representative”."

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    Almost anything regarding Singapore @lemmy.world cyd @lemmy.world
    www.straitstimes.com S’pore congratulates Taiwan’s President-elect Lai Ching-te on his victory

    Singapore will continue to grow its relationship with Taiwan based on the "One China" policy, said the Foreign Affairs Ministry. Read more at straitstimes.com.

    S’pore congratulates Taiwan’s President-elect Lai Ching-te on his victory

    I'm somewhat surprised that Singapore chose to stick its neck out with a statement, since you-know-who won't like this...

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    www.economist.com What the journey of a pair of shoes reveals about capitalism

    And how Indonesia, the world’s largest Muslim country, is changing

    What the journey of a pair of shoes reveals about capitalism

    This is a great article about how online shopping, logistics, and infrastructure are improving lives in Indonesia.

    For those without a sub: https://archive.is/KB9KK

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    China is banning dailies, first time bonuses, and other gacha practices used in Genshin.

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    China is banning dailies, first time bonuses, and other gacha practices found in HSR and Genshin.

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    China announced new laws to limit microtransactions, affecting major corporations like Tencent.

    These laws will ban rewards for spending money within a game for the first time, ban rewards for buying consecutive microtransactions, and ban rewards for daily log-ins.

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