They also pinky-promise that they are not running current psy-ops on many other topics. (Tee hee.)
That's like telling a starving person that long-term obesity concerns are the real issue.
Orban tells EU leaders Trump would act as "Russia-Ukraine peace broker"
U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is ready to act \"immediately\" as a peace broker in the Russia-Ukraine war if he is elected in November, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has said in a letter to EU leaders. Read more at straitstimes.com.
He claims Trump would act immediately upon winning the election, before taking office. Which sounds legally dubious, but not that that's ever stopped Trump....
Trump lost by around 50,000 votes in swing states, in the middle of a bungled pandemic response. In 2020, Biden was polling significantly higher than Trump; today he is polling significantly lower.
All this before that picture of Trump fist-pumping after being shot, which is going to be widely juxtaposed against Biden's inability to walk down 2-3 steps.
I don't know where this idea that Trump has "no chance" comes from.
Whelp... Biden was insistent on running, now the Monkey's Paw has answered. All the other plausible Dems who could have stepped in to replace Biden will be running for the hills, and being the Democratic nominee is gonna be the worst job in politics for the next four months. And at the end of the campaign he gets to be remembered by history as the loser in the worst landslide election since Reagan-Carter.
Also:
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Sonia Sotomayor's decision not to retire during Biden's term is looking like yet another D own goal. Very real prospects for a 7-2 Supreme Court.
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We're going to be seeing an orgy of foreign governments jockeying to cultivate relations with Trump. Official US foreign policy is going to be dead in the water, and NATO and G7 will be leaderless, until next year.
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Trump is going to have an iron grip on the Republican party now, to an even greater extent than before. On various issues where other Republicans held positions contrary to Trump's, they're going to be brushed aside.
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For the above two reasons, Ukraine is pretty well fucked.
Polls have significant predictive power, especially when you poll reportedly and/or aggregate them. Which is why all political campaigns, R or D, spend literally millions running their own polling. Moreover, it's now July, the first convention is literally coming up within days, so the excuse of being "far out from the election" no longer holds.
Okay, this settles it: Biden is gonna be the nominee. Nobody else on the Dem side is gonna want to be the sacrificial lamb going up against Trump after today.
Are you being wilfully pedantic, or do you not know that it's possible to tell someone is ahead in a contest?
Lots of people seem keen to jump to this being staged. That makes zero sense: Trump was already winning before this, especially with Biden (his preferred opponent) looking to hang on to the nomination.
Bernie isn't a Democrat most of the time (not sure if he is one this year...), represents a state that will remain safely deep blue even in the event of a Trump landslide, and is far removed from the constituencies where voter support for Biden is cratering. So it's not surprising for him to have this opinion.
Not to mention his vested interest in the idea that politicians should remain in power long into old age.
Neither, it's the Fed.
Pick the old man as nominee, and you'll get the Nazis in January.
If this passes, this would have the perverse effect of making China (and maybe to a lesser extent the Middle East) the leading suppliers of open source / open weight AI models...
That's the point. Biden's legacy is most likely a Trump second term, alongside a Republican Senate and House. Even if he wins by dumb luck, it would still have been a bad decision, like a bad poker play that wins.
Suppose the "best case" scenario for Biden materializes. He hangs on, remains the nominee, and pulls an upset against Trump in November.
Even in this scenario, I'd argue that his legacy is irrevocably tarnished. His decision in 2022/2023 to run would still be a terrible decision, like a poker player betting the whole pot on a horrible hand and winning by dumb luck. His staff would still be complicit in lying to the world. It would be the shabbiest victory imaginable... and all that before the question of how he lasts another four years in office.
Not "Democrats". One specific Democrat needs to ask that question.
This makes sense. Frankly the Teamsters union leadership would be negligent in not trying to court Trump. There's a political realignment going on right now as more working class people are shifting to the Republicans, and urban upper-middle class to the Democrats. If union leadership refuses to budge, they may find their membership drifting away.
Thanks, I hadn't seen those latest comments from Clyburn.
Now I have no idea what his position actually is, haha.
Clyburn's comments were intended to lay out a marker. He was signaling that if Biden steps down and the nomination doesn't go to Harris, he'll burn the outfit to the ground.
I don't think the election against Trump is the primary factor for him; he's simply maneuvering to maximize the tactical influence of the CBC, no matter the outcome. If Biden remains, he will be even more indebted to the CBC than he already was.
The Biden campaign's made a big deal out of how no CBC member has openly called for him to step down so far, and they're actively lobbying them to that end. That's also why he visited a black church over the weekend in one of his rare bits of campaigning. The calculation is that if all black lawmakers stay the course, the effort to replace Biden can be tarred as racist.
The Biden stay/go camps don't divide neatly by left/right. Progressives and neoliberals both want Joe gone; the ones sticking with him, or at least the ones he's appealing to for support, are the unions and the black caucus, which you can think of as the political machine wing of the Democratic party.
Nate Silver's 2024 election model is out. Currently assigning Trump a 65% chance.
As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.
Nate Silver's model for the 2024 election is out, currently predicts a 65% chance of a Trump victory.
As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.
South Korean and Japanese universities under pressure to lift tuition fees
Financial and competitive challenges to universities in Japan and South Korea have put tuition fee hikes on the horizon.
In the US, skyrocketing tuition fees are a major political issue, with pressure for student loan forgiveness, etc.
So it's interesting to see two East Asian countries having the opposite problem: tuition fees are too LOW, straining university finances and hindering the objective of delivering a good education.
The company is growing stronger—and less vulnerable
Archive link: https://archive.is/vGKin
Janet Yellen urges EU to raise tariffs on Chinese solar panels and wind turbines
Comments come as Commission president hints EU could impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles
Complains about overproduction of green technology, because it's important we don't have too much green technology....
France imposes state of emergency in New Caledonia as unrest continues
Always weird to me how France is so insistent on clinging to its colonial empire, two decades into the 21st century, despite the headaches that causes.
Biden hikes tariffs on Chinese EVs, solar cells, steel, aluminum
Biden administration is announcing plans to slap new tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, advanced batteries, solar cells, steel, aluminum and medical equipment.
Climate change and inflation are both important, so we're going to make it as expensive as possible to switch away from fossil fuels.
Are you into politics to win — or to feel good about yourself?
Japan sorely needs separate surnames
Japan should implement a legal framework for selective separate surnames as part of an initial stride towards gender equality.
The Developmental Implications of the CFA Franc
RSAF will be conducting airdrops of humanitarian aid into Gaza
An RSAF C-130 transport aircraft will stay on to conduct humanitarian airdrop operations staged out of Jordan.
The twilight of US trade leadership
The continued US retreat from global trade leadership since 2017 is enabling the ascent of China's state-capitalist model.
Foreign interference law invoked for the first time against naturalised Singaporean businessman
He is assessed to have shown susceptibility to being influenced by foreign actors. Read more at straitstimes.com.
Guess which country is doing the alleged interference...
"Mr Chan, the managing director of several real estate investment firms, was invited to attend China’s annual Two Sessions parliamentary meetings in March 2023 as an “overseas Chinese representative”."
Singapore will continue to grow its relationship with Taiwan based on the "One China" policy, said the Foreign Affairs Ministry. Read more at straitstimes.com.
I'm somewhat surprised that Singapore chose to stick its neck out with a statement, since you-know-who won't like this...
And how Indonesia, the world’s largest Muslim country, is changing
This is a great article about how online shopping, logistics, and infrastructure are improving lives in Indonesia.
For those without a sub: https://archive.is/KB9KK
China announced new laws to limit microtransactions, affecting major corporations like Tencent.
These laws will ban rewards for spending money within a game for the first time, ban rewards for buying consecutive microtransactions, and ban rewards for daily log-ins.