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TinyTimmyTokyo TinyTimmyTokyo @awful.systems
Posts 16
Comments 77
Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending Sunday 20 October 2024
  • As anyone who's been paying attention already knows, LLMs are merely mimics that provide the "illusion of understanding".

  • Adderall in Higher Doses May Raise Psychosis Risk

    Excerpt: >A new study published on Thursday in The American Journal of Psychiatry suggests that dosage may play a role. It found that among people who took high doses of prescription amphetamines such as Vyvanse and Adderall, there was a fivefold increased risk of developing psychosis or mania for the first time compared with those who weren’t taking stimulants.

    Perhaps this explains some of what goes on at LessWrong and in other rationalist circles.

    5

    Grimes attends Curtis Yarvin's wedding

    Maybe she was there to give Moldbug some relationship advice.

    1
    That tracing woodgrains peice on David Gerard is out
  • I'm noticing that people who criticize him on that subreddit are being downvoted, while he's being upvoted.

    I wouldn't be surprised if, as part of his prodigious self-promotion of this overlong and tendentious screed, he's steered some of his more sympathetic followers to some of these forums.

    Actually it's the wikipedia subreddit thread I meant to refer to.

  • I'm on Paris Marx's podcast this week rambling about crypto, AI hype and social media. Oh yeah and Jack Dorsey, our supposed subject. 1 hour.
  • As a longtime listener to Tech Won't Save Us, I was pleasantly surprised by my phone's notification about this week's episode. David was charming and interesting in equal measure. I mostly knew Jack Dorsey as the absentee CEO of Twitter who let the site stagnate under his watch, but there were a lot of little details about his moderation-phobia and fash-adjacency that I wasn't aware of.

    By the way, I highly recommend the podcast to the TechTakes crowd. They cover many of the same topics from a similar perspective.

  • a16z is working hard to get stuck with last year’s Nvidia chips
  • For me it gives off huge Dr. Evil vibes.

    If you ever get tired of searching for pics, you could always go the lazy route and fall back on AI-generated images. But then you'd have to accept the reality that in few years your posts would have the analog of a geocities webring stamped on them.

  • That tracing woodgrains peice on David Gerard is out
  • Trace seems a bit... emotional. You ok, Trace?

  • That tracing woodgrains peice on David Gerard is out
  • So now Steve Sailer has shown up in this essay's comments, complaining about how Wikipedia has been unfairly stifling scientific racism.

    Birds of a feather and all that, I guess.

  • That tracing woodgrains peice on David Gerard is out
  • what is the entire point of singling out Gerard for this?

    He's playing to his audience, which includes a substantial number of people with lifetime subscriptions to the Unz Review, Taki's crapazine and Mankind Quarterly.

  • That tracing woodgrains peice on David Gerard is out
  • why it has to be quite that long

    Welcome to the rationalist-sphere.

  • That tracing woodgrains peice on David Gerard is out
  • Scott Alexander, by far the most popular rationalist writer besides perhaps Yudkowsky himself, had written the most comprehensive rebuttal of neoreactionary claims on the internet.

    Hey Trace, since you're undoubtedly reading this thread, I'd like to make a plea. I know Scott Alexander Siskind is one of your personal heroes, but maybe you should consider digging up some dirt in his direction too. You might learn a thing or two.

  • Nvidia is being a bubble stock again
  • Please touch grass.

  • Nvidia is being a bubble stock again
  • The next AI winter can't come too soon. They're spinning up coal-fired power plants to supply the energy required to build these LLMs.

  • TracingWoodgrains launches a defense of Manifest's controversial reputation, all without betraying a basic understanding of what the word "controversial" means.
  • Until a month ago, TW was the long-time researcher for "Blocked and Reported", the podcast hosted by Katie 'TERF' Herzog and relentless sealion Jesse Singal.

  • Torres: "rumors have been swirling about the Future of Humanity Institute shutting down" after they got $665m in ETH from Buterin
  • I wouldn't know anything about the thread, as it's impossible for me to read without a twitter account. Yet another reason why the site is trash.

    But by all means, go on generating content for a bigoted fascist who will use everything you write to increase engagement with his platform and give it undeserved credibility and $$$.

    (And no, I won't block you.)

  • Torres: "rumors have been swirling about the Future of Humanity Institute shutting down" after they got $665m in ETH from Buterin
  • Sorry for the off-topic rant, but WTF is Emile Torres doing on twitter? Anytime I see someone creating content for that Nazi hellsite, I start looking at them differently.

  • SlateScott talking race and IQ: very cool and truth seeking. Revealing SlateScott's powerword: what's the public interest in that?
  • I'd really like to know the back story on this interview too. I realize weirdness isn't exactly distinctive when it comes to rationalists, but Zack is in a league of his own.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending Sunday 31 March 2024
  • I've been using DigitalOcean for years as a personal VPS box, and I've had no complaints. Not sure how well they'd scale (in terms of cost) for a site like this.

  • Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending Sunday 24 March 2024
  • Anthropic's Claude confidently and incorrectly diagnoses brain cancer based on an MRI.

  • OK doomer

    www.newyorker.com Among the A.I. Doomsayers

    Some people think machine intelligence will transform humanity for the better. Others fear it may destroy us. Who will decide our fate?

    Among the A.I. Doomsayers

    The New Yorker has a piece on the Bay Area AI doomer and e/acc scenes.

    Excerpts:

    >[Katja] Grace used to work for Eliezer Yudkowsky, a bearded guy with a fedora, a petulant demeanor, and a p(doom) of ninety-nine per cent. Raised in Chicago as an Orthodox Jew, he dropped out of school after eighth grade, taught himself calculus and atheism, started blogging, and, in the early two-thousands, made his way to the Bay Area. His best-known works include “Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality,” a piece of fan fiction running to more than six hundred thousand words, and “The Sequences,” a gargantuan series of essays about how to sharpen one’s thinking.

    [...]

    >A guest brought up Scott Alexander, one of the scene’s microcelebrities, who is often invoked mononymically. “I assume you read Scott’s post yesterday?” the guest asked [Katja] Grace, referring to an essay about “major AI safety advances,” among other things. “He was truly in top form.”

    >Grace looked sheepish. “Scott and I are dating,” she said—intermittently, nonexclusively—“but that doesn’t mean I always remember to read his stuff.”

    [...]

    >“The same people cycle between selling AGI utopia and doom,” Timnit Gebru, a former Google computer scientist and now a critic of the industry, told me. “They are all endowed and funded by the tech billionaires who build all the systems we’re supposed to be worried about making us extinct.”

    36

    Since age 12, SBF was a dedicated utilitarian, mommy says. It's not fair to imprison him for life.

    In her sentencing submission to the judge in the FTX trial, Barbara Fried argues that her son is just a misunderstood altruist, who doesn't deserve to go to prison for very long.

    Excerpt: >One day, when he was about twelve, he popped out of his room to ask me a question about an argument made by Derik Parfit, a well-known moral philosopher. As it happens, | am quite familiar with the academic literature Parfi’s article is a part of, having written extensively on related questions myself. His question revealed a depth of understanding and critical thinking that is not all that common even among people who think about these issues for a living. ‘What on earth are you reading?” I asked. The answer, it turned out, was he was working his way through the vast literature on utiitarianism, a strain of moral philosophy that argues that each of us has a strong ethical obligation to live so as to alleviate the suffering of those less fortunate than ourselves. The premises of utilitarianism obviously resonated strongly with what Sam had already come to believe on his own, but gave him a more systematic way to think about the problem and connected him to an online community of like-minded people deeply engaged in the same intellectual and moral journey.

    Yeah, that "online community" we all know and love.

    23

    BasedBeffJezos has this girlfriend from Canada, you wouldn't know her

    Pass the popcorn, please.

    (nitter link)

    8

    Let rationalists put GMO bacteria in your mouth

    They've been pumping this bio-hacking startup on the Orange Site (TM) for the past few months. Now they've got Siskind shilling for them.

    26

    Effective Obfuscation

    newsletter.mollywhite.net Effective obfuscation

    Silicon Valley's "effective altruism" and "effective accelerationism" only give a thin philosophical veneer to the industry's same old impulses.

    Effective obfuscation

    Molly White is best known for shining a light on the silliness and fraud that are cryptocurrency, blockchain and Web3. This essay may be a sign that she's shifting her focus to our sneerworthy friends in the extended rationalism universe. If so, that's an excellent development. Molly's great.

    19

    Eliezer "8.5% more cheerful about OpenAI going forward" with Mira Murati at the helm

    Not 7.5% or 8%. 8.5%. Numbers are important.

    24

    Let them Fight: EAs and neoreactionaries go at it

    Non-paywalled link: https://archive.ph/9Hihf

    In his latest NYT column, Ezra Klein identifies the neoreactionary philosophy at the core of Marc Andreessen's recent excrescence on so-called "techno-optimism". It wasn't exactly a difficult analysis, given the way Andreessen outright lists a gaggle of neoreactionaries as the inspiration for his screed.

    But when Andreessen included "existential risk" and transhumanism on his list of enemy ideas, I'm sure the rationalists and EAs were feeling at least a little bit offended. Klein, as the founder of Vox media and Vox's EA-promoting "Future Perfect" vertical, was probably among those who felt targeted. He has certainly bought into the rationalist AI doomer bullshit, so you know where he stands.

    So have at at, Marc and Ezra. Fight. And maybe take each other out.

    3

    Let's walk through the uncanny valley with SBF so we can collapse some wave functions together

    hachyderm.io Molly White (@[email protected])

    Attached: 2 images I finally got hold of the government exhibit that SBF's lawyers worried prosecutors were using just to "show that he’s some sort of crazy person" https://mollywhite.net/storage/sbf-trial/GX-39A.pdf #FTX #SBF #crypto #cryptocurrency

    Molly White (@molly0xfff@hachyderm.io)

    Rationalist check-list:

    1. Incorrect use of analogy? Check.
    2. Pseudoscientific nonsense used to make your point seem more profound? Check.
    3. Tortured use of probability estimates? Check.
    4. Over-long description of a point that could just have easily been made in 1 sentence? Check.

    This email by SBF is basically one big malapropism.

    37

    Generative AI producing racially biased results? Stop worrying about it, say orange site tech bros. It's just reflecting reality.

    Representative take: >If you ask Stable Diffusion for a picture of a cat it always seems to produce images of healthy looking domestic cats. For the prompt "cat" to be unbiased Stable Diffusion would need to occasionally generate images of dead white tigers since this would also fit under the label of "cat".

    22

    Croatia shutters a libertarian paradise, orange site readers have a sad

    20

    "Yudkowsky is a genius and one of the best people in history."

    [All non-sneerclub links below are archive.today links]

    Diego Caleiro, who popped up on my radar after he commiserated with Roko's latest in a never-ending stream of denials that he's a sex pest, is worthy of a few sneers.

    For example, he thinks Yud is the bestest, most awesomest, coolest person to ever breathe: >Yudkwosky is a genius and one of the best people in history. Not only he tried to save us by writing things unimaginably ahead of their time like LOGI. But he kind of invented Lesswrong. Wrote the sequences to train all of us mere mortals with 140-160IQs to think better. Then, not satisfied, he wrote Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality to get the new generation to come play. And he founded the Singularity Institute, which became Miri. It is no overstatement that if we had pulled this off Eliezer could have been THE most important person in the history of the universe.

    As you can see, he's really into superlatives. And Jordan Peterson: >Jordan is an intellectual titan who explores personality development and mythology using an evolutionary and neuroscientific lenses. He sifted through all the mythical and religious narratives, as well as the continental psychoanalysis and developmental psychology so you and I don’t have to.

    At Burning Man, he dons a 7-year old alter ego named "Evergreen". Perhaps he has an infantilization fetish like Elon Musk: >Evergreen exists ephemerally during Burning Man. He is 7 days old and still in a very exploratory stage of life.

    As he hinted in his tweet to Roko, he has an enlightened view about women and gender: >Men were once useful to protect women and children from strangers, and to bring home the bacon. Now the supermarket brings the bacon, and women can make enough money to raise kids, which again, they like more in the early years. So men have become useless.

    And: >That leaves us with, you guessed, a metric ton of men who are no longer in families.

    Yep, I guessed about 12 men.

    14

    "Tech Right" scribe Richard Hanania promoted white supremacy for years under a pen name

    www.huffpost.com This Man Has The Ear Of Billionaires — And A White Supremacist Past He Kept A Secret

    Hanania is championed by tech moguls and a U.S. senator, but HuffPost found he used a pen name to become an important figure in the “alt-right.”

    This Man Has The Ear Of Billionaires — And A White Supremacist Past He Kept A Secret

    Excerpt: >Richard Hanania, a visiting scholar at the University of Texas, used the pen name “Richard Hoste” in the early 2010s to write articles where he identified himself as a “race realist.” He expressed support for eugenics and the forced sterilization of “low IQ” people, who he argued were most often Black. He opposed “miscegenation” and “race-mixing.” And once, while arguing that Black people cannot govern themselves, he cited the neo-Nazi author of “The Turner Diaries,” the infamous novel that celebrates a future race war.

    He's also a big eugenics supporter: >“There doesn’t seem to be a way to deal with low IQ breeding that doesn’t include coercion,” he wrote in a 2010 article for AlternativeRight .com. “Perhaps charities could be formed which paid those in the 70-85 range to be sterilized, but what to do with those below 70 who legally can’t even give consent and have a higher birthrate than the general population? In the same way we lock up criminals and the mentally ill in the interests of society at large, one could argue that we could on the exact same principle sterilize those who are bound to harm future generations through giving birth.”

    (Reminds me a lot of the things Scott Siskind has written in the past.)

    Some people who have been friendly with Hanania:

    • Mark Andreessen, Silion Valley VC and co-founder of Andreessen-Horowitz
    • Hamish McKenzie, CEO of Substack
    • Elon Musk, Chief Enshittification Officer of Tesla and Twitter
    • Tyler Cowen, libertarian econ blogger and George Mason University prof
    • J.D. Vance, US Senator from Ohio
    • Steve Sailer, race (pseudo)science promoter and all-around bigot
    • Amy Wax, racist law professor at UPenn.
    • Christopher Rufo, right-wing agitator and architect of many of Florida governor Ron DeSantis's culture war efforts
    4

    Grimes pens new TREACLES anthem: "I wanna be software, upload my mind"

    21

    Bloomberg gives Yud a big slobbery one: "He’s worth hearing out."

    Ugh.

    >But even if some of Yudkowsky’s allies don’t entirely buy his regular predictions of AI doom, they argue his motives are altruistic and that for all his hyperbole, he’s worth hearing out.

    3