Yes I'm not running from memory but I believe the RBNZ said one more rise then they will hold it for a while. So banks are anticipating that they will fall over the longer term (funny how we consider 5 years long term).
RBNZ last time (when going from 5.25% - 5.5%) they said they "had done enough"; there are no rate reductions predicted (take predictions how you will) until 2024.
I'm not sure why there has been a rate rise; when there has been no indication that there will be another rate rise. But in saying that, the economy has not cooled as much as expected.
Did they? I thought I remembered there was going to be another before the end of the year. I have had trouble finding an article though.
Normally mortgage rates are set not based on the OCR but based on the swap rate (the cost of banks lending to each other). The OCR does heavily influence the swap rate, but there can be other reasons too. I wonder if something else has happened to cause this?
It would be interesting to know; I know that the swap rates are what set the mortgage rates, but my understanding is limited. I also know the OCR is highly correlated with the swap rates, but I don't know what else causes changes in the swap rates.