Abrupt Late-Summer Shift: Polls Now Put CPC in Majority Territory
Abrupt Late-Summer Shift: Polls Now Put CPC in Majority Territory
Mid-term slump or insurmountable momentum shift for the Liberals? The latest numbers look increasingly dire for Justin Trudeau
We're going to get 8 years of Conservatives blaming the liberals for why they too can't make life more affordable. While also rolling back social protections.
It's how Canadians roll: we decide we like a party leader, we elect them, and after eight or ten years we decide it's time for a change. It doesn't matter who the other leader is, we just decide to switch.
The problem is that it's a guaranteed pendulum between the Liberals and Conservatives. Without a third party, the out-of-power party just needs to wait. They don't need compelling policy, they don't need a decent leader, they just need to show up.
Agh. Truly. Is there any way to reform the electoral system without relying on an elected party to make it happen?
There are ways but the most common methods of political reform in history are rather violent, unfortunately.
I do think we need youth more involved in politics and a less apathetic population. I think vote reform should come from the local/municipal level and move up from there once a good chunk of cities have it, but unfortunately in Ontario the Progressive Conservatives stopped making it legal for municipalities to change their system.
It’s how Canadians roll: we decide we like a party leader, we elect them, and after eight or ten years we decide it’s time for a change. It doesn’t matter who the other leader is, we just decide to switch.
I mean we elected a party that promised Electoral Reform and that this would be the last FPTP election. That should've been enough. They just changed their minds after they won.
Yes, of course. Canada and its provinces stand as a democracy. The population at large are in charge. They can do whatever they want. The only thing that can get in their way is themselves.
And that population has tested the electoral reform waters numerous times, especially provincially where referendums have been hosted on multiple occasions to gauge opinion, but interest in change has struggled to present itself.
we decide we like a party leader, we elect them
Maybe, if they are in your riding. The average riding has ~100,000 people, and there are only so many parties, so only a small percentage of the population ever have the opportunity to elect a party leader.
It's a summertime poll in a non-election year. It's about as useless as tits on a fish.
Outside of election season in general. No poll has any real value as they swing wildly back and forth depending on what's going on.
Most voters have such short term memory that they forget what's been said and done outside of election season unless if it gets memed on.
I fully expect nearby foreign events to be a competitive issue to housing in 2025. I could be wrong, but it seems likely, especially if we see positive movement on the housing issue.
don't let the dnd people hear you say that, they still haven't gotten over lizardfolk boobs
Might make fishing more interesting, however...
Don't kink shame. >:(
ROFL, "tits on a fish." Will plagiarize it for next time.
High cost of living, unsustainable gas prices, runaway climate change, housing crisis, stagnant wages.
I'm sure the right wingers will be the perfect solution to these problems.
its just how pendulum politics works. keep alternating back and forth , rarely do we ever get real solutions.
We're fucked. Even more, I mean.
Well yeah, Trudeau stuck his foot in his mouth about housing, and continues to not solve the massive problem. I get the anger, and since "progressive" Neoliberals can't solve it, they're turning to Pierre.
Yes, let's follow Pierre's solution.
Wait. What is it again? Aside from "suck it hair guy" they don't have a platform.
I love how this decades-old problem is being hung around Trudeau's neck and the only apparent solution is a nothingburger from a team usually gleefully fucking over the plebes.
That's good politics works. The guy in charge openly washed his hands of the problem and doesn't seem to have any solutions. So the masses are turning to the person who says "I can fix it!", even if he doesn't have a plan.
I can't stand PP (he panders too much to extremists like antivaxxers and anti-trans chuds like Dr Peterson and was anti-spending during pandemic shut-downs) but his approach to housing is probably the best one on the table: he wants to specifically target municipal red tape and punish cities by cutting federal funding to large cities that don't upzone and hit their housing targets. These are specific policy planks with hard numbers in them. There are parts I disagree with (like restricting it to municipalities over 0.5M residents) but it's the right direction.
I'm firmly in the YIMBY camp, and PP is the only person talking anything approaching sense on that particular issue. Ford had the Housing Affordability Task Force tell him the same thing, and he threw away 99% of their recommendations and instead focused on handing the Greenbelt out to his croneys.
Trudeau has the Housing Accelerator Fund for similar purpose, but that's carrots instead of sticks. Municipalities have spent decades fighting tooth and nail against infill housing, they deserve sticks and not carrots. It was municipal governments that put us behind this 8-ball, and then the post-pandemic era sunk it.
edit: downvote away, but the fact is he does have a specific plan. Unfortunately NatPo is the only media source I could find writing about it - better-media sources with info and analysis of his plan welcome.
Remember folks: Polls are voter manipulation. Look at what it did for Ontario... For WEEKS before the election, polls kept predicting a landslide for the CPO... Which demotivated voters -- and 17% of eligible voters gave them a 66% majority.
Fuck the polls -- show the fuck up to vote, and take three friends/neighbours with you. Reality has a well-known liberal bias.