Tesla placed a big bet back in 2020 when it announced that it was developing a new battery cell format. The 4680 battery, as it’s known, powers the Cybertruck and in the past, it made its way into a limited number of Model Y crossovers.
The cylindrical cell was touted as being more energy-dense than the 2170- and 1865-type units found in the Model Y and Model 3 and the Model S and Model X, respectively. It’s also supposed to be cheaper to manufacture and easier to assemble.
Recently, Tesla announced that it produced its 100 millionth 4680 cell. That’s a big achievement and a sign that the company managed to ramp up production of the proprietary cell significantly to reach an average manufacturing rate of 495,000 cells per day. That’s enough for 368 Cybertrucks.
However, the biggest battery maker in the world, Contemporary Amperex Technology Limited, better known as CATL, believes that going down the cylindrical cell route is a dead end. CATL’s founder and head honcho, Robin Zeng, told Tesla CEO Elon Musk this to his face. The reaction was silence.
Zang, who spoke with Reuters, said he had told Tesla’s head honcho that his bet on the 4680 cylindrical battery “is going to fail and never be successful.”
"We had a very big debate, and I showed him," Zeng said. "He was silent. He doesn't know how to make a battery. It's about electrochemistry. He's good for the chips, the software, the hardware, the mechanical things."
But that’s not all. Zang also had some remarks about Musk’s tendency to set unrealistic timelines for upcoming products. "His problem is overpromising. I talked to him," Zeng said. "Maybe something needs five years. But he says two years. I definitely asked him why. He told me he wanted to push people."
The 4680 isn't a dud, but the whole industry is betting on solid state and investing a lot in that. If the 4680 finds success, that will divert money away from solid state. As things stand, the 4680 is barely good enough and Zeng clearly isn't taking any chances and wants to kill it in its cradle.
Isn't the 4680 just the shape of the battery? I guess the disadvantage is that it is round and harder to assemble into a pack unlike prismatic batteries.
Yeah, the cylindrical cells have a lower packing density, but they're also stronger and less prone to expanding than the prismatic cells. Also the "wasted" space between 4680s just means more room for coolant to get around.
No fan of musky, but I know I'd want the physically stronger cells (cylindrical) in a moving vehicle.