Nate Silver's model for the 2024 election is out, currently predicts a 65% chance of a Trump victory.
Nate Silver's model for the 2024 election is out, currently predicts a 65% chance of a Trump victory.
www.natesilver.net The presidential election isn't a toss-up
As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.
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Same models from 2008-2020, at this point in the cycle, it had Hillary winning, and Biden winning, both by a decent margin.
I think it depends what the campaigns do with this information. Coast, or fight harder?
Vote vote vote. (Just once though).
25 1 ReplyVote early; vote often.
9 1 ReplyChicago style
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