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Looks more like Tears of the Kingdom to me.
It's BoTW. Or perhaps technically neither? :D
On Jess' website:
A personal project created from 2014-2016, designing concept art and environments of what I thought The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild would look like. I painted these after the first trailer was released and before the full title announcement (it was called Zelda WiiU at the time).
An homage to one of my favourite video games.
Edit: Well fuck me for taking an artist for their word on a game I haven't played, I guess.
This reddit post by Jess seems to indicate this particular piece was drawn much later than the rest.
What? Link is literally wearing his Tears of the Kingdom outfit. And look at his arm. This person did not make this in 2014-2016.
You're welcome to look into it further.
Edit: I did so for you.
Someone at Nintendo saw this artwork and thought it was so cool they made a game of it
Idk if the dates match up for that but a flip flop can dream