Riiiiight. If you say so. It stil doesn’t change the fact that you’re using your own scripts to support points that disagree with pretty much everyone else.
Bruh, its a simple fucking analysis that any one with two braincells to squeak together can understand. What was the trend for the last 30 days? What was the trend before that? How are things going?
But reality doesn't agree with your bias, so reality must be wrong.
No, it doesn’t agree with reliable polling. And even if we were to dismiss critical thinking and blindly assume that your biased results were accurate-
Polls don’t mean shit on Election Day.
So stop with the obvious attempts to disrupt an election and just let us get on with it,
Sure. Now that reality doesn't agree with your delusional vision of the world "it doesn't matter"
So stop with the obvious attempts to disrupt an election and just let us get on with it, mmmmkay?
Or maybe, your attempt to deny reality is genuinely hurting the Democrats chances. Its fucking identical, what you are doing, to what happened in 2016. Its exactly what was happening before Biden dropped out.
You, quite literally, are the problem, and are significantly damaging Democrats chances this November.
Its -quite fucking literally- because I use data to form my opinions. When the data disagrees with my opinion, I do this crazy fucking thing, where I change my opinion.
Its called "living in fact based world". Look it up.
These are just "national polls". Its not a new analysis. I run thousands of these kinds of analyses every month. Check my post on Bidens probability of winning. Check my post structural bias in polling. I'm sorry reality isn't what you want it to be, but that very much is a "you" problem.
Also, I shared the code with you. You can do your own work on it. Come up with an argument based on the data that validates or invalidates your thesis.
I called Biden dropping out literally 8 months before it happened, and basically to the week. Some asshole here still owes me $200 (I think they deleted their account over it). I called Kamala being the nom. I also thought it she was a great candidate, and she blew past my expectations for performance. I also called a decline/ stagnation in her polling if she didn't come out strongly on the issue of Israel Gaza.
Its literally all written into my post and comment history, just there, for any one to see.